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New England Patriots 2019 Postseason - Odds and Predictions

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read

Predicting the modern-day New England Patriots to make the postseason is about as risky as predicting rain in Seattle – chances are, it’s about to happen…again.

The Patriots have been to the NFL playoffs in ten of the last ten seasons and have won three Super Bowls in that time, and in the eighteen years that quarterback Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick have been working together, they’ve only missed the playoffs twice and earned six total Lombardi Trophies.

Regardless of this incredible level of success, oddsmakers know that it is just a matter of time before Brady gets too old to play and win anymore, so here we take a look at the odds and predictions of the Pats’ making the postseason once again as we briefly analyze their chances.

The 2019 New England Patriots are:

  • Owner: Robert Kraft
  • General Manager: Bill Belichick (Hired January 2000)
  • Head Coach: Bill Belichick (Hired January 2000)
  • Offensive Coordinator: Josh McDaniels (Promoted February 2012)
  • Defensive Coordinator: VACANT (Duties handled by Bill Belichick)
  • Quarterback: Tom Brady (19th season)
  • Offensive Stars: Running Back Sony Michel, Wide Receiver Julian Edelman
  • Defensive Stars: Defensive End Michael Bennett, Cornerback Stephon Gilmore

How did the New England Patriots do in 2018?

The 2018 New England Patriots and their 41-year-old quarterback Tom Brady did about as well as any NFL team can do by winning their sixth Super Bowl against the Los Angeles Rams, 13-3.

Despite their decent 11-5 record (which becomes less impressive when you consider the Patriots have posted 12 wins or more in each of the prior eight seasons) and despite losing their deep threat receiver Josh Gordon midway through the season to the ‘weed demons’ that apparently haunt him, Belichick basically figured out a way to take each of their opponents’ biggest weapons out of their game plan.

Tough to beat the Patriots (or any team) when they can neutralize your best player, and with that winning formula, Brady, Belichick, and company once again dominated the regular season and postseason, adding yet another fat championship ring to their growing collection.

What major offseason moves happened in New England?

The biggest offseason loss for the Patriots was from the retirement of super tight end Rob Gronkowski, whom many agree is a future Hall-of-Famer – read our prior coverage here: Possible Rob Gronkowski Post Retirement Plans: Odds and Predictions.

Also lost to free agency, were offensive tackle Trent Brown, defensive end Trey Flowers and wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson.

The Pats signed defensive end Michael Bennett after his 9 sacks and 2 forced fumbles for the Philadelphia Eagles last season and also picked up defensive tackle Mike Pennel and tight end Matt LaCosse while re-signing veteran cornerback Jason McCourty, wide receiver Phillip Dorsett and outside linebacker John Simon.

The biggest pickup for New England in the draft was 6-foot-2 wide receiver N’Keal Harry, who looks to be an immediate starter for offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels’ offense.

When was the last time the Patriots DIDN’T make the playoffs?

Here’s a hint: Barack Obama was elected as president that year and Kobe Bryant took Phil Jackson’s Los Angeles Lakers to the NBA Finals and lost to Doc Rivers’ Boston Celtics four games to two.

Give up? It was the 2008 season, and Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers ended up being the Super Bowl Champions that year.

The Patriots posted a 9-7 record and ended finishing second in the AFC East.

Why WILL the Patriots make it to the postseason in 2019?

Somehow, last year’s Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots are only facing the 27th toughest schedule next season, but that is not nearly as unfair as having GOAT quarterback Tom Brady under center and (possible GOAT) head coach Bill Belichick leading the team.

With Brady’s ability to get rid of the ball quickly while remaining upright and Belichick’s ability to create a system that maximizes his own players’ strengths while neutering their opposition’s biggest playmakers, these Patriots will once again be an extremely tough team to beat in 2019.

Having a tough defense improved by the addition of Michael Bennett and Mike Pennel plus a solid running game with standouts Sony Michel and James White certainly doesn’t hurt the Patriots’ chances, either.

Also helping the Patriots in their pursuit of the 2019 postseason are the other three teams in the AFC East – the Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills and New York Jets – helpful mainly because each of them has been struggling to put together winning seasons while they continue to rebuild, and meanwhile New England continues to easily dominate that division.

Why WON’T the Patriots make it to the postseason in 2019?

The NFL has always been a young man’s game, but the funny thing about Tom Brady is that apparently, the forty-one-year-old didn’t get that memo…yet.

What the entire football world is counting on (especially the aforementioned teams of the AFC East) is for Brady’s age to at some point finally catch up to him in the form of a slower release or a degraded throwing arm or some kind of injury that keeps him from being effective or out on the field at all.

If 2019-20 is the season that Old Man Brady finally loses his touch and rides off into the New England sunset, then the rest of the NFL (and especially the AFC) will breathe a collective sigh of relief because they will finally feel like some other team will have a chance to be the Champs instead of more of that same old ‘boring’ Patriots magic that’s been dominating the league for the last two decades. 

What are the current odds and predictions for the New England Patriots’ 2019 NFL postseason?

Even the oddsmakers understand how incredible the modern New England Patriots are and have set their predictions accordingly.

If you are a football gambler, chances are the odds that have been set for the 2019 Patriots won’t intrigue you since the payoffs for betting on favorites are never as rewarding as the wagers made on the longshots.

Below we take a look at the three major postseason bets you can make on the Patriots and we briefly analyze each.

If you are in New Jersey you can place future bets on the New England Patriots on 888Sport. Check out the latest odds below. Good luck!

Will the New England Patriots make the NFL playoffs in 2019? 

Sportsbook Yes No Link
888Sport NJ -1000 +625

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: If you are new to gambling, here is how this bet breaks down – you would have to bet $1,000 to win $100 if you believe the Patriots will go to the playoffs, but if you bet $100 that they won’t go you could win $625.

Obviously, the oddsmakers understand that New England is still a dominant factor in the NFL’s postseason play and there is no huge money to be had agreeing with that.

For the Patriots to miss the playoffs this year, either the Bills, Jets or Dolphins would have to play a whole lot better than them (and WAY better than they have been playing for the last few seasons), and at this point that coming true seems highly unlikely.

Odds of the Patriots winning the AFC Championship:   

Sportsbook AFC Championship Link
888Sport NJ +315

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: New England has the best odds of any AFC team to win the AFC Championship and go to the next Super Bowl.

Put a hundred bucks on this bet and you win $700 if that comes true, but don’t forget there are fifteen other AFC teams that are making a run for the same prize, including a very tough Kansas City Chiefs, a strong Indianapolis Colts and a suddenly impressive Cleveland Browns.

Keep in mind that over the last ten seasons, the Patriots have covered this bet five times, so you have to figure that chances are good that they can do it again in 2019.

Odds of the Patriots winning Super Bowl LIV:

Sportsbook NFL Championship Link
888Sport NJ +700

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: This is a tough bet because in the last five seasons, the Patriots have covered this one three times (and almost a fourth against the Philadelphia Eagles in 2017) so it seems likely that it could happen again, especially given the Belichick / Brady partnership that does not seem to be fading in the least.

But that’s the fun of gambling – being able to predict that moment where fortunes turn around when suddenly the favorites can’t close the deal for whatever reason.

The 2019 season could prove to be the breaking point for this peaking franchise, or it could be just another Lombardi feather in their fairly full championship cap, but the way things have been going in New England these days it would be tough to assume (or bet) that the Patriots are suddenly ready to fizzle.

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Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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