Best Commanders vs. Lions Prop Bets: Who Will Shine in Playoff Grudge Match

• The Commanders give up 8.8 yards per pass, which is the worst in the NFL

• Sam LaPorta has racked up at least 90 receiving yards in two of his last four games

• The Lions have allowed 16 passing touchdowns in eight games this season

It’s almost hard to believe that less than 10 months ago, the Washington Commanders beat the Detroit Lions in an endlessly entertaining playoff game. Much has changed since that game, as neither team has lived up to preseason expectations. In fact, both teams are coming off a loss last week, as the Lions get set to visit Washington this week, hoping for redemption after last season’s home loss to the Commanders.

With two losses in their last three games, the Lions are no longer the favorites in the NFC North at the midway point of the season. That would have been hard to believe before the season. Meanwhile, the Commanders have gone from the NFC Championship Game last season to being long shots to win the NFC East this season.

Commanders vs. Lions Prop Bets

Of course, even without the amount of success either team was expecting this season, Sunday’s game will still be filled with plenty of star players. The injury to Jayden Daniels takes one key player out of this game, but several others are still worth watching closely. That’s why we decided to pick out our favorite prop bets for this week’s Lions-Commanders game.

The odds for these props come from bet365 Sportsbook, which is ranked as one of the best prop betting sites. New users who sign up with our promo code WSN365 will get $200 in bonus bets after placing an initial $5 wager.

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Jared Goff Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

This figure is a little on the high side because Goff is only averaging about 240 passing yards per game. In fact, he’s only hit 250+ passing yards in three of Detroit’s eight games this season. However, two of the three times he’s gone over 249.5 passing yards were games that the Lions won easily. That could be the case again this week, which is why we’ll back Goff to hit the target.

Much of this pick is also based on Washington’s defense. The Commanders are giving up a league-high 8.8 yards per pass attempt. They are also tied for the most pass plays of 20+ yards and 40+ yards allowed this year. That equates to some big plays from Detroit’s receivers, which should make it a little easier for Goff to reach 250 passing yards, even if the Lions run the ball to drain the clock in the second half.

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Sam LaPorta Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

The Lions have plenty of threats in the passing game. But tight ends have been particularly troublesome for the Washington defense this year. They are giving up five catches and 60 yards per game against opposing tight ends. Those numbers point to LaPorta being in a position to do some damage in this game.

Keep in mind that LaPorta is second on the Lions in both receptions and receiving yards. He’s almost always a key part of Detroit’s offensive game plan. As a result, LaPorta has had at least 55 receiving yards in three of his last four games, including two games of 90+ receiving yards. Given Washington’s issues with tight ends, this feels like a safe bet.

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Marcus Mariota Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (+165) at bet365 Sportsbook 

With Jayden Daniels out for the long haul, the Commanders are officially Marcus Mariota’s team. That’s not the worst thing in the world, as Mariota is an experienced quarterback. He has four touchdown passes across the three games that he’s started, so while this isn’t a safe bet, there is some value.

One reason to like this bet is that the Lions have given up 16 passing touchdowns in eight games. The likes of J.J. McCarthy, Jake Browning, and Caleb Williams have all thrown multiple touchdown passes against the Lions this season. If those players can find some success against the Detroit defense, it’s worth taking a chance on Mariota to do the same, especially with plus odds, as he tries to settle in as Washington’s starter.

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