Dolphins vs. Texans Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Miami Fighting for Playoff Berth

• Miami is 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 games

• Houston has won five straight home games against Miami

• The Dolphins are +400 to make the playoffs

The Dolphins take on the Texans in one of the more intriguing games of the Week 15 slate. Shockingly, Miami can still make the playoffs, but they have a difficult path. 

Miami is 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against AFC South opponents. Since Tua Tagovailoa’s return from injury, he has played great football, registering a quarterback rating of 107.4. 

Joe Mixon has been outstanding in his first year with the Texans. Houston is at its best when Mixon is getting the football, and we expect him to get a ton of carries in this matchup.

Dolphins vs. Texans Odds

Below are the odds for the Dolphins vs. Texans game from FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up with FanDuel and Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

Dolphins vs. Texans My Pick

• My Pick: Texans -3 (-105) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Miami has been playing great football lately, but we think their momentum will run out against a tough Texans team. Houston is a great team at home in 2024, whereas Miami is 2-4 on the road. 

The Texans hold a two-game lead in the AFC South, with the Colts right behind them. Houston has found success against the Dolphins at home, and we expect this trend to continue. 

C.J. Stroud has regressed in 2024, but it’s only a matter of time until he becomes an elite quarterback in the NFL. Nico Collins is finally healthy and back in the lineup after missing a few weeks due to injury. 

There is no question that Stroud is a better quarterback with Collins playing, as he is one of the best receivers in football. With his route-running ability and Mixon’s run game, the Texans are a dangerous team, and we are taking them to cover the spread in Week 15.

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Dolphins vs. Texans Predictions 

Cold Hard Football Facts is a great resource to utilize when betting on the NFL. Their proprietary statistics rank teams based on their performance throughout the season. 

Cold Hard has Houston ranked as the tenth-best team according to the Quality Stats Power Rankings, compared to Miami, ranked 19th. In defensive passing yards per attempt, the Texans are ranked second, which shows how well they defend opposing quarterbacks. 

The Dolphins' strength is the passing game, and Houston does a great job defending this aspect of an offense. The Texans blitz and get after the quarterback a lot, which will cause Tagovailoa to force the ball down the field. 

Ultimately, this game will come down to how well the Miami defense can defend Mixon and the rushing attack. According to Cold Hard, they are 21st in Defensive Rusher Rating, which shouldn’t be good enough to win. 

It will be a long day for Miami's defense as we expect C.J. Stroud and the offense to dominate in Week 15. 

Dolphins vs. Texans Best Player Props

Nico Collins Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Collins is a defensive nightmare and a mismatch for any cornerback in the league. He has 49 receptions for 832 yards with four touchdowns in only eight games. 

Collins has cleared this number five times, including a 151-yard performance against the Jaguars. In last week’s contest, he had eight catches for 119 yards, with his longest reception being 40 yards. 

We expect Collins to be the focus of the Texans in Week 15 and for him to easily clear this number.

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Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Tyreek Hill has finally turned his season around in the last two weeks, having 16 receptions for 198 yards with two touchdowns. He has 65 catches for 769 yards in 2024. 

Hill is the scariest receiver to defend due to his speed and route-running ability. In a game that Miami absolutely has to have, we expect them to target their number-one receiver heavily. 

Hill has surpassed this number six times in 2024, including in two straight games. Look for him to have a monster performance in Week 15.

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 268.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Tagovailoa has surpassed this number five times in nine games, including the last four contests. He has 2,456 passing yards to go with 17 touchdowns in 2024. 

In a game where the Dolphins should be trailing, look for Tagovailoa to throw the ball all over the field and cash this prop.

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Dolphins vs. Texans How to Watch

• When: Sunday, December 15, 2024 @ 1:00 PM EST

• Where: NRG Stadium

• Where to Watch: CBS

Dolphins vs. Texans Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for Dolphins vs. Texans, look at some of the best NFL sportsbooks where you can place your bets. FanDuel is a great sportsbook to use because new customers receive $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager hits. 

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Dolphins vs. Texans Injuries

Dolphins Injuries

• Dolphins Tyreek Hill WR - Questionable

• Dolphins Jaylen Waddle WR - Questionable

• Dolphins Raheem Mostert RB - Questionable

Texans Injuries

• Texans Jalen Pitre S - Out

• Texans Juice Scruggs C - Doubtful

• Texans Denico Autry DE - Questionable

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