The Eagles and Ravens are the top two rushing offenses in the NFL
Derrick Henry (13), Jalen Hurts (11), and Saquon Barkley (10) are top three in the NFL in rushing touchdowns
The Eagles have won seven straight games
The 9-2 Philadelphia Eagles are on the road in Week 13 against the 8-4 Baltimore Ravens. The Eagles are first in the NFC East, while the Ravens are second in the AFC North.
Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where new users can receive $150 in bonus bets after placing a winning $5 wager.
FanDuel Moneyline | FanDuel Point Spread | FanDuel Totals |
---|---|---|
Eagles: +138 | Eagles: +3 (-112) | Over 51.5: -106 |
Ravens: -164 | Ravens: -3 (-108) | Under 51.5: -114 |
I like the Eagles to cover here.
Both teams run the ball extremely well. The Eagles are No. 1 at 193.4, and the Ravens are No. 2 at 180.2.
The discrepancy here, though, is the pass defense.
The Eagles allow the second-lowest passing yards per game (196.91), while the Ravens allow the most (297.25).
The Ravens have been better against the pass recently, but with a running game like the Eagles, this puts their defense in a tough spot.
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This is an intriguing matchup for many reasons, with the headline being about these rushing attacks. On one side, you have Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson; on the other, you have Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley.
Henry leads the league in rushing touchdowns, Hurts is second, Barkley is third, and Jackson has 599 rushing yards.
The top two rushers in the NFL are Barkley (1,392) and Henry (1,325).
In Week 12, Barkley ran for 255 yards against the Los Angeles Rams.
The Ravens are typically a stiff run defense, holding teams to just 77.9 yards per game (second), but they’ve allowed running backs to score twice over the last three games.
As mentioned above, there’s a massive difference in these pass defenses when you look at them throughout the season.
To give props to the Ravens, they’ve allowed no more than 218 passing yards over the last two games and haven’t given up a single passing touchdown.
It’s unclear if Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith will play this week. Even if he doesn’t, the Eagles still have A.J. Brown at their disposal.
The Eagles are far from a top-tier passing offense, averaging just 195.7 per game (25th), but I think Hurts will do enough and stay out of turnover trouble.
I mentioned the Ravens run defense, but the Eagles are also quite stiff against the run, holding teams to just 99.2 rushing yards per game (seventh).
These are two incredibly good teams with multiple ways to win.
In a game like this, I’ll default to the underdog and take the three points for the Eagles.
I won’t be surprised if either team wins, but it’s also worth noting that the Eagles are on a seven-game winning streak.
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These first two props are somewhat of a cop-out, but they can be parlayed for plus-line value.
Heading into this game, Henry has scored in all but one game this season, last week's against the Chargers.
As mentioned, the Eagles have a tough pass defense, and while Jackson is leading the league in passing yards, I fully expect them to continue turning to Henry.
Also, the Eagles have allowed a rushing touchdown to a running back in each of the last two games.
Henry averages over 18 carries per game. I think he’ll get back in the end zone here as the Ravens allow him to settle the score with Barkley in rushing yards.
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As mentioned above, the Ravens have allowed two rushing touchdowns to running backs over the last three games, and now, they’re taking on the league’s leading rusher.
Barkley is averaging over 20 carries per game and has 22 carries or more in four of the last five games.
The Ravens pass defense has been leaky throughout this season, but the Eagles are down a top-flight wide receiver in Smith.
Regardless, Barkley will continue to get carries and chances. He has 10 rushing touchdowns and will try to keep pace or close the gap with Henry here.
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Getting back to that Ravens pass defense, I’ll take Hurts to go for at least 225 here.
Hurts has thrown for 225 yards or more this season in five of 11 games.
The Ravens have seen eight quarterbacks throw for 225 yards or more in 12 games this season.
It’s worth noting that Hurts averages 8.3 yards per attempt. He doesn’t pass a ton, attempting more than 30 passes just twice all season.
Quarterbacks are averaging 39 attempts against the Ravens per game. That would be 323 yards for Hurts.
No, I don’t expect him to get there between his and Barkley’s rushing, but even if he reaches 28 attempts, that, multiplied by his average, would exceed this line.
He’s attempted 28 passes or more in five games this season.
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When: Sunday, Dec. 1 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: CBS
If you’re looking for the best odds for the Eagles vs. Ravens matchup or any other Week 13 NFL game, check out our recommended NFL betting sites. FanDuel always delivers in moneyline and point spread odds, while Caesars always has dozens of player props for each game.
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Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith is questionable with a hamstring injury
Eagles defensive end Brandon Graham has been placed on injured reserve with a triceps injury
Eagles cornerback Darius Slay Jr. is questionable with a concussion
Ravens defensive tackle Michael Pierce has been placed on injured reserve with a calf injury
Ravens tight end Charlie Kolar is out with a broken arm
Ravens cornerback Arthur Maulet is questionable
Ravens safety Sanoussi Kane is questionable
Ravens linebacker Roquan Smith is questionable with a hamstring injury
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