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Monday Night Football Picks Week 11: Battle for Texas Gives Cowboys Last Chance to Save Season

Published: November 17, 2024, 02:00 PM ET
3 min read
  • Dak Prescott will miss the remainder of the season on IR

  • Cooper rush passed for under 50 yards in Week 10

  • The Dallas defense allows the league's second-most rushing yards per game

This week’s edition of Monday Night Football comes with high stakes for both teams. On one side is a Texans team that entered the season as a favorite to win Super Bowl LIX but is now in danger of losing the AFC South. On the other is a Cowboys team that needs to keep their season alive.  

If you want to wager on this week’s edition of Monday Night Football, we have you covered. Below, we’ll share our favorite bets for this matchup, helping you win your wagers on Monday night. We’ll use odds from Caesars Sportsbook, which gives new users a $1,000 First Bet Offer OR $250 in Bonus Bets when they sign up using promo code WSN1000.

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Best MNF Picks Week 11

Texans -7.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook

This is a lot of points to give up for a shaky Texans team, but we are willing to do so in a matchup with the Cowboys.

Dallas has problems all over the field, but the most significant is at quarterback. Dak Prescott is out for the season, turning the reigns over to backup Cooper Rush. The results have been disastrous, leading to the team’s record dropping to 3-6.

The Texans' pass defense is one of the best in football, and they showed it by intercepting Jared Goff five times last week. They lose thanks to Detroit’s incredible balance, something the Cowboys don’t have. Expect Rush to be under pressure all game, leading to several turnovers and few points in a blowout loss.

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Cooper Rush Under 0.5 Pass TD (+129) at Caesars Sportsbook

Cooper Rush has started the previous two games for the Cowboys. It wasn’t pretty, especially last week against the Eagles. The 30-year-old backup completed 56.5% of his passes for 45 yards, averaging 2.0 yards per attempt. 

The Texans’ defense will bring just as much of a challenge on Sunday. Given that Dallas doesn’t have much of a run game or defense, expect another ugly outing for Rush and the Cowboys. 

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Joe Mixon Over 87.5 Rush Yards (-119) at Caesars Sportsbook

Joe Mixon is coming off his worst game, he will face a far easier test against the Cowboys this weekend. The Dallas defense allows the league's second-most rushing yards per game (152.1) and touchdowns (15). 

Before last week’s ugly outing against the Lions, Mixon had rushed for 100+ yards in four consecutive games. He has done that in all but two games this season, adding a team-high seven touchdowns. 

The veteran back has looked like his younger self, which is bad news for a bad Cowboys’ run defense.

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Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Email: michael.savio@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
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Experience: 3 years
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