The Green Bay Packers became the first seven seed to win an NFL playoff game last weekend, and they’ll have a chance to advance to the NFC Championship Game if they can beat the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round on Saturday.
The Niners are the odds-on Super Bowl favorites but were blown out at home the last time their starters played. The question now becomes if they will benefit from the extra rest and be victimized by a lack of rhythm.
As the teams prepare to go to battle, here are our favorite player props and betting picks for the Packers vs. 49ers Divisional Round matchup.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | +9.5 (-108) | +350 | Over 50.5 (-115) |
San Francisco 49ers | -9.5 (-112) | -450 | Under 50.5 (-105) |
Love, a first-year starter, only needed 21 passes to rack up 272 yards in his playoff debut against the Dallas Cowboys. He cleared this total in three straight and eight of his last 10 games and is playing with house money since he and the Packers were supposed to be eliminated already.
Love is one of the hottest players in the league, having tallied 23 total touchdowns and only one interception over his last nine outings. What he lacks in experience he more than makes up for with his cannon of an arm and ability to make plays off-script, the latter of which will be important against an outstanding Niners defense.
Regardless of the final score, this game sets up in favor of Love’s over. If Green Bay is winning early, it will likely be because Love found success through the air, and if they are trailing late, he’ll be forced to go bombs away.
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Kittle caught six touchdown passes during the regular season and had a couple of explosive outings in the final month of the season, including a 126-yard performance against the Baltimore Ravens and a 76-yard, one-TD game against the Seattle Seahawks.
The Niners can be tough to predict because of how balanced their offense is, but he should be able to run free if Kyle Shanahan can set up the play action after first establishing Christian McCaffrey on the ground.
The Packers also gave up the sixth-most touchdowns to tight ends (seven) during the regular season and will have their hands full trying to account for everything San Fran has to offer.
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McCaffrey is the engine that makes the Niners’ offensive train go. The potential Offensive Player of the Year led the league with 1,459 rushing yards and added 567 receiving yards to bring him to a total of 126.4 per game (though his average was hurt by a three-week stretch when he played through injury).
The Packers did an excellent job defending the run against the Cowboys, holding Tony Pollard to 56 yards on 15 carries, but they also ranked just 28th in rushing yards allowed per game (128) for the year.
With a QB in as strong of form as Love, the Niners should look to slow the tempo down and assert themselves on the ground, which should lead to McCaffrey having another characteristically gaudy box score.
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Reed led the Packers in regular-season receiving yards (49.6 per game) but did not record a reception on three targets in the Wild Card.
Given the magnitude of the game, there’s a strong chance that Love comes out looking to get his favorite target going early. He caught 89 and 112 yards worth of passes in Weeks 17 and 18 and should have a prominent role in the game plan.
There’s also a chance the Niners come out paying extra attention to Romeo Doubs, who went for a career-high 151 yards and a touchdown in the Wild Card victory over the Cowboys.
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Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
When: Saturday, January 20, 5:15/8:15 p.m. PT/ET
TV/Streaming: FOX
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