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Here is an NFL Week 12 NFC cross-divisional SNF fight between the spiraling Green Bay Packers and the 9-win Philadelphia Eagles, with the Packers who have covered in 7 of their last 8 games as underdogs as its young receiver crew continuing to adjust to catching balls from future Hall of Fame QB Aaron Rodgers facing Eagles mobile QB Jalen Hurts who has dangerous legs.
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the league in takeaways this season so far with 20 of them thanks to 13 interceptions (tied for first in the league) and 7 fumble recoveries (tied for 4th most in the leagues), versus Green Bay whose defense has generated 8 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries, these turnovers a huge factor in which of these two teams will be able to cover.
The Green Bay Packers offense led by an understandably frustrated QB Aaron Rodgers has been held to under 20 points in three of the last four games, so maybe don’t expect them to suddenly be high scorers against a Philly defense that is ranked second best in the league after holding opponents to just over 18 points and 300 yards per game, not a good sign for the Pack.
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This is a home game for Philadelphia and nine of its last 10 games at Lincoln Financial Field have gone over the total points line, and this game also seems destined to go over what the oddsmakers have predicted – 46.5 at BetMGM – especially when you consider what these two teams typically score and what their defenses on average allow opponents to score.
Here are the numbers from 2022 – the Green Bay Packers offense averages 18.4 points per game and the Philadelphia Eagles offense averages 26.3 points each time for a total of 44.7, just under what this bet allows, whereas the Packers defense allows 22.1 points each week and the Eagles allow 18.3 points every game, and that total of 48.3 is well over, so we suggest that bet.
The trouble QB Rodgers is facing here is the Philly secondary that is ranked second best in the league at stopping the pass and their playmakers – CBs Darius Slay and James Bradberry and SS C.J. Gardner-Johnson – should be trouble for Green Bay’s young pass catching crew including rookie WR Christian Watson, though veteran Randall Cobb might be tougher to cover.
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The Philadelphia Eagles have won nine of their last 10 games and they are significantly more productive than the Green Bay Packers on both sides of the ball, a mismatch that will likely go Philly’s way, with believers who place a $305 money line bet on the favorites facing a $100 payout plus the bet, a risky venture for those who have faith in the unlikely.
Watch for veteran WR Randall Cobb who is back from injury and who gives QB Rogers at least one wizened target as the Packer faithful face the choice of this money line bet that would cost $100 and pay out $240 plus the wager, a definite way to make this matchup more thrilling than it already is for anyone still expecting Green Bay to right their ship and restart their winning ways.
Watch for Green Bay’s defensive line try to keep Philly QB Jalen Hurts contained in the pocket, that near impossible job going to DEs Dean Lowry and Jarran Reed, with LB slash DE Preston Smith also on QB hunting duty, this season with 5 sacks and 12 QB hits along with 36 total tackles with 6 of those for a loss, but none of that helps if nobody can catch the speedy Hurts.
Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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