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Ravens ML (-184)
Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown (+100)
Justin Herbert Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-160)
Austin Ekeler Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
We have a massive Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 12. The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Los Angeles to face the Chargers in primetime. Baltimore is one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season, and Los Angeles is fighting for their playoff dreams.
This season, Los Angeles is 4-6 and 2-3 at home. They’re coming off two straight losses to the Lions and Packers. They’re not playing quality football, which is apparent as they’ve lost three of their past five games.
The Ravens beat the Bengals on Thursday Night Football in Week 11. They made a statement, dominating Cincinnati in all aspects of the game. They can do this to any team they play, and the Chargers are unlucky because the Ravens had a ten-day break coming into this game.
The best way to attack Sunday Night Football from a betting standpoint is with a same-game parlay. Let’s break down our +652 four-leg SGP on FanDuel Sportsbook.
The Ravens' moneyline is slightly juiced at -184, but playing the market in an SGP is okay. There isn’t much benefit to laying 3.5 points in a parlay. If you insist on playing the spread, buy half of a point down to three so you don’t get burnt if the Ravens win by a field goal.
Cold, Hard Football Facts is a proprietary stat tool used to predict the outcome of NFL games. The stats have been used for over 20 seasons and mentioned in major media outlets like Sports Illustrated.
The Ravens are the number one team in the Quality Stats Power Rankings compared to the Chargers in 11th. Baltimore doesn’t rank lower than eighth in any statistical categories, which isn’t the case for Los Angeles.
The Chargers are 24th in Total Team Yards Allowed and 23rd in Defensive Rusher Rating. Baltimore has a strong crop of running backs led by Gus Edwards. If Baltimore leans on the run, they should leave Los Angeles with a win on Sunday night.
Gus Edwards has been the primary back for the Ravens despite Keaton Mitchell bursting onto the scene over the past weeks. Mitchell is an explosive back, but Edwards is the power to the duo and receives the bulk of the carries around the goal line.
If Baltimore is inside the ten-yard line, Edwards receives the rushing attempts. His anytime touchdown is plus money, and this line has a lot of value.
Edwards was one of the players who willed the Ravens to a win over the Bengals. Edwards has ten touchdowns on the season and has scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games. He has three multi-touchdown games in his past four contests. Edwards’ anytime touchdown is a prop you want in your parlay!
Justin Herbert’s play level has been good but great in the past few weeks. The Chargers haven’t found any identity on the ground, so they’ve asked Herbert to throw the football consistently.
In three of his past four games, Herbert has thrown 36 or more passes. He will throw a lot against the Ravens, especially if Los Angeles plays from behind. However, we will play the under on his passing touchdowns because of the Ravens' defense.
Baltimore’s defense has been one of the best in the NFL. The team is second in Total Team Yards Allowed, and they have terrorized opposing quarterbacks. The team ranks second in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating and Defensive Passer Rating and first in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt.
Austin Ekeler hasn’t been a great rusher this season, but he has been exceptional in catching the ball out of the backfield. Ekeler is coming off a bad receiving game against the Packers.
Green Bay prioritized stopping Ekeler’s receiving game, and he only had two catches. However, Ekeler will be a frequent safety valve this week for Herbert with the Ravens' pass rushers. Baltimore gets after the quarterback, and Ekeler will clean up the mess.
He has had a 48 and 94-yard receiving game in two of his past four contests. He can have another big game here, especially if Los Angeles is in consistent passing situations.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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