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Vikings vs. Broncos SNF Same Game Parlay - NFL Week 11

Written by: Michael Savio
Published November 16, 2023
5 min read
Packers vs Broncos Predictions
  • Over 42.5 (-110)

  • Russell Wilson 2+ pass TDs (+120)

  • Courtland Sutton 50+ receiving yards (-160)

  • Vikings +6.0 (-214)

Combined Odds +625 at Caesars Sportsbook

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This week's Sunday Night Football matchup features two of the hottest teams in football. They will meet in Denver to play a game vital to both teams' playoff hopes.

The Vikings turned their season around in October and have now won five straight games. The hot streak has put them back into the playoff picture and in striking distance of an NFC North title. The loss of Justin Jefferson and Kirk Cousins hasn't stopped Minnesota from rolling, as Joshua Dobbs and Jordan Addison have filled in well. A win on Sunday night would keep them in the division race and improve their odds of making the postseason.

The Broncos were the worst team in football through the first six weeks, but that has changed. Denver has now won three straight games, including wins against the Chiefs and Bills. The offense still isn't overwhelming, but their defense has taken massive strides over the last few weeks. While they are out of the AFC West race, a win tonight could suddenly make them a true threat to capture a wildcard spot.

Below, we will break down each leg of our parlay to give you the odds and insights needed to win big on Sunday's prime-time matchup.

Over 42.5 (-110)

Our first leg is also the bet we are most confident in this weekend. Both of these offenses have been playing well over the last few weeks. The trade for Joshua Dobbs has paid dividends for Minnesota over his first two starts. The quarterback has thrown for 426 yards, rushed for 110, and scored a combined five touchdowns. The Vikings scored 27+ points in those games, both of which came from defenses that have been better than the Broncos (Falcons & Saints). Dobbs and TJ Hockenson have been very hard to stop, and now Justin Jefferson may be ready to make his return to the field. That has us expecting to see another big number put up by the Vikings on Sunday.

While the Broncos' offense hasn't been as electric as the Vikings, they have looked much better over the last two weeks. They faced two good defenses in the Chiefs and Bills and managed to score 24 points in both games. Russell Wilson is no longer the playmaker he once was, but he and his talented receiving corps should have no problem finding success against a bad Minnesota pass defense.

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Russell Wilson 2+ pass TDs (+120)

While Russell Wilson's yardage totals have been way down over the last five weeks, he is completing a lot of his pass attempts. Last week's win against the Bills was a perfect example, as the veteran completed 24 of his 29 passes for 193 yards and two touchdowns. It was his second week in a row throwing multiple touchdowns, with Wilson throwing three against the Chiefs the week before. He has now thrown for multiple touchdowns in six games this season, and we think he will add to that trend tonight.

Wilson will have an advantage on Sunday thanks to a Vikings pass defense that has some holes. They have improved a bit as the season has progressed but have faced a lot of mediocre quarterback play. Despite the easier schedule, Minnesota ranks twenty-fourth in the NFL in passing touchdowns allowed. While Wilson is also a mediocre quarterback, his receiving corps makes this a more challenging matchup for the Vikings.

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Courtland Sutton 50+ receiving yards (-160)

Courtland Sutton's season numbers aren't great, but he is Russell Wilson's favorite target. He has scored touchdowns in all but two of their games and gained over 50 yards in two of their previous games. The 28-year-old was shut down by a great Chiefs defense but managed 6+ receptions against the Bills and Packers. Minnesota's secondary doesn't have the weapons that the Chiefs do, so we see another 6+ catch performance for Sutton coming on Sunday.

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Vikings +6.0 (-214)

As well as the Broncos have been playing during their three-game win streak, it is less impressive when studied closely. The first win came against a Packers team destined for a top draft pick in 2024. The next came against a great Chiefs team when Patrick Mahomes was dealing with the flu. The third was against a Bills offense that has been broken. While the wins are still impressive, it signals the streak is unlikely to continue much longer.

The Vikings are the hotter team in this matchup. They are in the heart of a playoff race, have a new quarterback that has rallied the team, and now may see Justin Jefferson back on the field. While their lack of production from the running back position is a problem, Dobbs has been able to use his legs to establish the run game. While the Denver defense is improving, we think they will take a step back against a revitalized Minnesota offense on Sunday Night Football.

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Michael Savio

Sports Betting & Gambling Industry Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
3 years
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