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Steelers vs. Browns TNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Will the Steelers Win Their Sixth Straight Game?

Contributors
Updated November 21, 2024
6 min read
  • Mike Tomlin is 0-5 on the road in a divisional TNF matchup

  • The Browns are just 3-7 ATS compared to the Steelers at 8-2 ATS

  • This is the first of two meetings in two and a half weeks for the franchises

The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) will travel to face the Cleveland Browns (2-8) in an AFC North rivalry on Thursday Night Football. As the two teams prepare to head into battle, we’ve found the best player props and betting picks for the matchup.

Steelers vs. Browns Odds 

Odds for the Steelers vs Browns TNF matchup are taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and claim $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.

TeamSpreadMoneylinePoints Total
Pittsburgh Steelers-3.5 (-105)-184Over 36.5 (-115)
Cleveland Browns+3.5 (-115)+154Under 36.5 (-105)
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Steelers vs Browns Predictions and Prop Bets

Steelers vs. Browns Predictions 

The Steelers are 4-0 with Russell Wilson under center. While he hasn’t been incredible and completed just over 60 percent of his passes, he opened up the downfield passing attack and isn’t committing back-breaking mistakes.

Pittsburgh also ranks seventh in defensive EPA per play and holds its opponents to the fifth-fewest yards per rush attempt. They won five games in a row and only gave up more than 20 points in one of those games, plus they’re 4-1 on the road.

On the flip side, the Browns also look like a much better team with new QB Jameis Winston under center in place of the injured Deshaun Watson. Winston averaged 321.3 passing yards and racked up six touchdowns and three interceptions in three games in charge of the Cleveland offense, which was held to 24 total points the last two weeks after it hung 29 on the Baltimore Ravens in Winston’s first start.

Whereas the Browns are known for playing outstanding defense, they’re only 20th in EPA per play thus far. However, they get to face a division rival at home on a short week, which gives them a contextual advantage.  

Steelers vs. Browns: My Pick

The Steelers are the much better team, but they never won a road divisional TNF matchup in their franchise’s history (0-7). That’s a daunting precedent to overcome in a division that’s known for cannibalizing itself. 

That said, while Winston has provided life to the Browns’ offense, it hasn’t resulted in a higher-scoring output. Pittsburgh is the superior team and is in a solid spot to win and cover in a competitive matchup. 

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Steelers vs. Browns Best Player Props

Jameis Winston Over 217.5 Passing Yards (-113 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

As we mentioned, Winston is averaging more than 300 yards per game and cleared this line in all three starts for the Browns. He’s a risk-taker and will push the ball down the field even if it means he commits some turnovers.

Pittsburgh is going to be the aggressor as the better team, and it will be on the Browns to respond in kind. Winston threw the ball at least 41 times in all three starts and should have the workload to get past this total.

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George Pickens Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-113 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Pickens is unquestionably Wilson’s favorite target and just caught 12 targets and eight receptions for 89 yards in last week’s win against the Baltimore Ravens. 

Pickens went over this line and caught at least 74 yards worth of passes in all four games with Wilson under center. The Browns rank near the top of the league in passing yards allowed per attempt and completion percentage allowed, but the Steelers’ concerted effort to get him the ball should be enough for him to beat this low line.

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Najee Harris Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-113 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Harris is having one of the best stretches in recent memory, going over this line six times in 10 games and averaging 70.8 rushing yards per game. He had three straight 100-yard weeks spanning Weeks 6-8 and has maintained a heavy workload despite the quarterback change.

The Browns are only 27th in yards allowed per rush attempt at 4.8. They also just gave up 214 yards and three touchdowns to the New Orleans Saints last week, including 67 on 16 carries by starting back Alvin Kamara.

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Steelers vs. Browns How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, Nov. 21 at 8:15 p.m. ET

  • Where: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH

  • Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video

Steelers vs. Browns Best Promos and Sportsbooks

Most major NFL betting sites have the Steelers favored by 3.5 points. The exception and the best deal for Browns bettors is offered by ESPN Bet, who has the Browns at +4 (-115).

Steelers bettors can find them at -3.5 (-110) at most sportsbooks, including BetMGM, bet365, and others.

Find our favorite NFL betting promos listed in the table below.

SportsbookPromoPromo CodeSign Up Link
bet365 Sportsbook$1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus BetsWSN365Sign Up Here
BetMGM SportsbookGet Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*WSNSPORTSSign Up Here
BetRivers Sportsbook$500 Bonus BetNo code neededSign Up Here
Caesars SportsbookBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 BetsWSN1000Sign Up Here
Crab Sports$500 First Bet InsuranceWSNCRABSign Up Here
FanDuel SportsbookBet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet WinsNo code neededSign Up Here

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

Steelers vs. Browns Injuries

Steelers Injuries

  •  Alex Highsmith (LB) - Doubtful (ankle)

Browns Injuries

  • Myles Garrett (DE) - Questionable (hip)

  • Elijah Moore (WR) - Questionable (shoulder)

  • David Njoku (TE) - Questionable (knee)

  • Jedrick Wills Jr. (OT) - Questionable

  • Joel Bitonio (OG) - Questionable

  • Greg Newsome II (CB) - Questionable (shoulder)

More TNF Week 12 Bets and Picks

Thursday Night Football Week 12 Picks

Thursday Night Football Week 12 Prop Bets

Thursday Night Football Week 12 Same Game Parlay

TNF FanDuel Promo Code for Steelers vs Browns

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Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
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Experience: 4 years
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