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Our first prop bet for Game 3 between the Vegas Golden Knights and Florida Panthers is for Sergei Bobrovsky to go over 28.5 saves for the game. Bobrovsky has really struggled so far in this series, giving up four goals in each of the first two contests. But he should be able to return to form as this series heads to Florida for the first time, in a must-win game for the Panthers on Thursday night.
So far in this series, Bobrovsky has made 38 total saves in the first two games, racking up 29 saves in Game 1 and just nine saves in Game 2. But some offensive regression is in order for the Golden Knights in Game 3 of this series, as they are set to play on the road for the first time in this final. Expect Bobrovsky to take full advantage of any offensive regression here, as the Panthers should slow them down.
Prior to the start of the Stanley Cup Final, Bobrovsky had tallied 30 or more saves in five straight games. Here, he will start to look like that goaltender once again, helping the Panthers to get back into this series. Expect Bobrovsky to go over his saves total and for him to be a deciding factor in Game 3.
Another prop bet that should benefit the Panthers in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final is for Matthew Tkachuk to score a goal. Tkachuk has scored one goal in this series so far, with that goal coming late in Game 2 when things were more or less decided in that game. Here, Tkachuk will be much more impactful than he was in the first two games of the series and help Florida win this game.
Tkachuk did get a decent number of shots in during the first two games of this series, tallying six total shots in those first two contests. His aggression is certainly not expected to subside in this game, as he will continue firing away in Game 3. Look for his shot tally to remain high in Game 3, and for one of those shots to find the back of the net in front of a home crowd in Florida in this crucial matchup.
Finally, we look at the shots on goal prop market on the Golden Knights side, as we expect Mark Stone to end up with fewer than three shots on goal for this game. So far in this series, Stone has amassed 10 shots on goal in two games. However, he should see his shot output decrease significantly with this series being back in Florida in a game where the Panthers cannot afford to be lenient on the defensive end of the ice.
Las Vegas shot on goal unders are a decent play across the board in this contest. Bettors should expect players like Jack Eichel and Jonathan Marchessault to go under their shots on goal totals as well. But the best value in this market is to take the under for Stone, who took so many shots in Games 1 and 2 that he may not be able to sustain that pace no matter where Game 3 is being held.
As a whole, bettors should expect the Panthers defense to be at or near its best for this game. That should diminish the number of shots on goal for several key members of the Golden Knights, including Stone. Stone just happens to have one of the best prices on his shots on goal under for this game, so we will gladly take that under.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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