A new episode of Ride the Line with Grant Mitchell and Tanner Kern is now live on all WSN platforms!
The show starts with a quick recap of Week 4 NFL Sunday. The boys discussed the Denver Broncos coming back against the Chicago Bears to earn their first win of the year, the Dallas Cowboys annihilating the New England Patriots, and the Washington Commanders’ would-be comeback against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Jumping into Monday Night Football, the boys find themselves both backing the Seattle Seahawks over the New York Giants.
What started as Seahawks +1.5 has moved to a line of Seahawks -1.5, yet there is some sharp money coming in on the Giants. Grant and Tanner struggle to see why that is aside from hope that the Giants are “due” for a win.
Seattle scored 37 points in back-to-back weeks and won both games. They have to fly across the country to get to New York, but they have been much more impressive thus far, outscoring the Giants by 14.7 points per game and giving up 3.4 fewer points per game.
The Giants have the worst scoring differential in the league and have been outscored by an average of 18.7 points per game. They were able to enjoy a long week of rest having played on Thursday Night Football in Week 3, but that’s just about all they have going for them.
To make matters worse for the G-Men, Saquon Barkley is doubtful, and left tackle Andrew Thomas is expected to miss the matchup. That means their best player and most important lineman (on an otherwise awful line) are out, leaving Daniel Jones to fend essentially for himself.
Grant and Tanner were on the same side of the game pick, and they’re both looking at the same player in prop betting markets. That player is Kenneth Walker III.
Walker, like the rest of the Seahawks, started slowly in Week 1 but scored two touchdowns in each of his last two outings, and Grant likes him to crack the pylons again. He’s consistently gotten a hefty workload near the goal line, and with the Seahawks scoring as freely as they have, should get more opportunities Monday.
The Giants are also the only team in the league that has allowed two rushing touchdowns per game, which is all the more reason to back Walker III to score.
Tanner also likes Walker III but is looking at the over of his rushing total which ranges anywhere from 62.5 to 64.5. He’s hit the over in each of his last two games and now gets to take on a Giants defense that has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards (138 per game) and allowed the lead back for each team it’s faced to exceed Walker’s total.
Tanner noted that the Seahawks have a bad habit of randomly abandoning the run at times, but he has enough faith in their lead back to cash his over.
Check back throughout the week for more episodes of Ride the Line and more NFL betting picks and analysis!
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