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Jon’s UFC 282 Experience & Beating Sportsbooks to the Lines

Written by: Bill Krackomberger
Updated December 15, 2022
7 min read

It’s episode 125 of Wise Kracks and Bill continues his streak of appearing in-studio! The guys discuss whether the Dallas Cowboys are a top 5 team or not, the San Francisco 49ers' big win with Brock Purdy, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ consistent decline, beating the sportsbooks to the lines, UFC 282, and more. Let’s dive in!

Your hosts Bill Krackomberger and Jon Orlando (especially Jon) take an in-depth look at the Dallas Cowboys after just barely beating the Houston Texans. Are they worthy of being considered a top 5 team?

With Brock Purdy continuing to step up for the 49ers in place of Jimmy Garopollo, is he the NFL’s next star quarterback?

The Buccaneers continue to have a losing season and are the worst team in the NFL against the spread. With this, is Tom Brady looking to move on?

Bill discusses how he beats sportsbooks to the lines before they can move them. How does that benefit bettors?

Jon had a blast this past weekend at UFC 282, which was stacked with great fights. What did the guys think of the outcome? All of this and more on this week's Wise Kracks!

San Francisco 49ers’ Brock Purdy is the Real Deal

“Dallas should’ve lost against the Texans. They proved that they’re not the best team.”

You might think Jon would refute this statement from Bill, but he reluctantly agrees. This past Sunday, the now 10-3 Cowboys narrowly won over the now 1-11-1 Texans. Jon laughs, “To think, I was high on a New York Jets and Cowboys Super Bowl!”

It always goes back to the parity of the sport for Bill, “Any given Sunday.” Even with such a winning season, ESPN doesn’t list them as a top 5 team, a list that consists of such favorites as the Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills, and the Kansas City Chiefs. This point leads into a classic Bill rant, “It’s a shame that there’s so much bad info out there, even amongst the experts!” Even though Bill doesn’t see them as the best team, he still acknowledges they’re one of the best, and that’s all Jon could hope to hear.

49ers backup quarterback Brock Purdy continues to be the name on every NFL fan’s mind after a huge 35-7 win over the Buccaneers. After stepping in for an injured Jimmy G a couple of weeks ago, he’s proven to the NFL, and to Bill, that he’s the “real deal.” 

With the crowd chanting Purdy’s name at one point during the game, his very proud father could be seen in the crowd crying tears of pride. Bill thinks it’s a beautiful thing, “Jon and I are tough guys, but stuff like that gets to us… like the sad commercials with the dogs looking to be adopted!”

Two things resulted from this win: 24 hours later, the 49ers became the second most bet-on team to win the Super Bowl at a popular sportsbook, and the Bucs officially became the worst team in the NFL against the spread with a 3-9-1 record. Jon piles on, “They’re just awful.”

With the Bucs looking worse and worse, there’s talk that suggests Tom Brady might be looking to move on. However, Bill has heard enough about Brady, “Enough’s enough Tom, give us a break… I don’t want to hear about his personal life anymore!” Jon is taken aback that this might even be a thing, “I didn’t even consider that another season would be on the table!”

With a discussion that might suggest Brady could go to the Las Vegas Raiders, Bill brings up that the Raiders knocked him out of one of the pools he was participating in. Thus, we are blessed with another classic Krackman rant, “Lines move so fast nowadays, you have to have people in the right places.”

For Bill, beating the sportsbooks before they move the lines is the name of his game, “Sometimes, I know when a line is going to move two points before the sportsbooks do… it’s why they don’t like me!”

Ultimately, it all comes down to having good information and using it to advance your knowledge, “They need to hire people with better information, don’t penalize me because I know my stuff!” When prompted on whether sportsbooks don’t like specific bets over others, Bill keeps it short and sweet, “They dislike winning bets more than losing bets!”

A Very Rare Result Happened at UFC 282

This past weekend, UFC 282 took place, and Jon was in attendance, “I saw some great fights the other night!”

With a stacked card, one of the most interesting aspects of the night was the scoring of the main event between Jan Blanchowicz and Magomed Ankalaev. In a very uncommon occurrence, the fight ended in a split draw. Even with the split draw, there are no talks of a rematch.

Jon explains, “Everyone saw it to Ankalaev.” With most media coverage behind Ankalaev as well, 43% of the public was behind him. Jon thought he had it in the bag, “I took off early to beat traffic and make it to dinner… I thought he had won until my buddy showed up and said it was a draw.” 

Bill sees a pattern in Jon’s behavior, “Now you see here, Jon is a Los Angeles Dodgers fan… that’s why he leaves early.” Jon cracks up, “It’s true… I’m a ‘beat the traffic’ guy!”

More controversy spurred from the co-main event between Paddy Pimblett and Jared Gordon, with Paddy taking the victory. Jon didn’t agree with the final decision, “Gordon got robbed.” 90% of the public backed Gordon, along with most media coverage.

Bill inquires about the judging at these events, “Are there detailed rules that the public are made aware of?” The answer to this is that there are, but they are subjective. Jon drops a tidbit that sends Bill back in his chair, “Some boxing judges often judge the UFC.” 

In Bill’s opinion, the judging criteria for the UFC need to be more fine-tuned, “People are betting real money on this, we need more judges!” Jon brings up that UFC commentator and podcast heavyweight Joe Rogan would agree with this sentiment, “Rogan has said that there should be at least 10 judges and no more of these three-judge setups.”

In the world of UFC betting, there was the chance that a $500 parlay on the event could have paid almost $32k if it wasn’t for the draw. Jon is glad he didn’t put money down, “I had nearly every fight right except one!” One day Jon, one day.

Catch Wise Kracks Thursday on YouTube

Welcome to Wise Kracks, your one-stop-shop for all things betting, pop culture, tips & more! Your hosts Jon Orlando and Bill Krackomberger talk about the NHL, NBA, MLB, & the NFL, while never missing the chance to make each other laugh.

 A new guest joins the show every week to bring you into the world of sports and entertainment. Wise Kracks wants you to be in the know, and with Bill on your side, you’ll be winning in no time. Catch a new episode of Wise Kracks by tuning into the WSN YouTube channel every Thursday!

Bill Krackomberger WSN Contributors

Bill Krackomberger

Sports Betting Analyst, Content Specialist & On-Air Host

Expertise:
Online Sports Betting
Online Casino
Billy “Krackman” Krackomberger has made his living as a professional sports gambler for nearly three decades. You have seen him on ESPN, Gaming Today, and SiriusXM. His connections in the sports gambling industry run all the way to the top. His bets move the lines and regularly have him banned from books for being too sharp.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace Casino
Experience: 30 years
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