French Open Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Oppose Evans on clay
  • Bagnis has upset potential
  • Cecchinato should be favorite
  • Musetti to test Tsitsipas

French Open Picks

Francisco Cerundolo to beat Dan Evans at +110 at bet365

Facundo Bagnis to beat Daniil Medvedev at +680 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Marco Cecchinato to beat Pablo Andujar at +100 at bet365

Lorenzo Musetti to win a set v Stefanos Tsitsipas at +160 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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French Open 2022 Lorenzo Musetti

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Dan Evans vs Francisco Cerundolo

Winner Odds
Daniel Evans -130
Francisco Cerundolo +105

Having been brought up on the clay courts of South America, Cerundolo has a natural affinity for this surface; Evans certainly does not.

I expect the Briton will try to push forward whenever possible but he doesn’t have the greatest weight of shot and he may well just end up giving the Argentine a target.

A bit of rain got into the clay on Sunday’s opening day and with much more predicted for Monday, conditions look likely to be pretty heavy whenever they do play this match, something which will only favor Cerundolo.

Evans has gone just 3-6 in the claycourt season so far and while Cerundolo’s record isn’t much better, the Briton looks well worth opposing given he’s chalked up as the favorite here.

Back Cerundolo as the underdog.

Facundo Bagnis vs Daniil Medvedev

Winner Odds
Facundo Bagnis +600
Daniil Medvedev -1000

This column mentioned Medvedev’s dislike of clay last week and, as suggested, he duly lost in his opening match of the Geneva Open.

That made it 16 defeats in his first match at the 22 tour-level clay events he’s played – a pretty remarkable record for a man who is likely to return to the world no 1 spot next month.

Last week’s loss to Richard Gasquet was also Medvedev’s first match in two months following hernia surgery so it’s clear he’s not the best-prepared player going into the first round of Roland Garros.

In it, the Russian will come up against a solid claycourter in Bagnis, who was a winner on the Challenger Tour earlier this season on the surface.

Again, any heavy conditions should only aid the underdog and his ability to stay in points is the sort of game which could get under Medvedev’s skin.

A small bet – Bagnis was suffering from a calf injury in Geneva last week – at a big price looks worth chancing.

Pablo Andujar vs Marco Cecchinato

Winner Odds
Marco Cecchinato -105
Pablo Andujar -115

Cecchinato was another player mentioned in last week’s column and he delivered his backers a profit by defeating Dominic Thiem in Geneva.

That followed a qualifying win over Pablo Cuevas (a man who beat seed Jenson Brooksby in Paris on Sunday) and so the Italian’s confidence will be up as heads back to Roland Garros, a venue he has fond memories of having reached the semi-finals back in 2018.

The draw has given him another good opportunity for a win with the Spanish veteran Andujar having struggled of late.

He’s lost his last five matches, all in straight sets, and I don’t see him as the favorite.

The bookies do though and I’ll more than happy to try to take advantage of that position.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Winner Odds
Lorenzo Musetti +750
Stefanos Tsitsipas -1200

Tsitsipas is one of the title favorites here, especially after landing on the softer side of the draw, but his first-round tie is by no means easy.

Musetti, it should be remembered, led Novak Djokovic by two sets at last year’s French Open and he’s enjoyed a pretty solid clay season so far, notching up wins against the likes of Felix Auger-Aliassime, Albert Ramos-Vinolas and Sebastian Korda.

As long as he’s fully recovered from a thigh injury picked up in Madrid – and that was three weeks ago – Musetti has more than a chance of winning a set here, something which is on offer at a top price of +160.

While Tsitsipas’ form is strong – he won in Monte Carlo and was runner-up to Djokovic in Rome – he’s lost sets to the likes of Ilya Ivashka and Karen Khachanov in recent weeks.

With plenty of eye on him and one of the toughest first-round draws, the Greek can drop at least one more here.

Best Outright Picks

Novak Djokovic appears to be hitting something like top form at just the right time.

After his disrupted start to 2022, he’s steadily improved since getting regular matches and his victory in Rome, where he didn’t lose a set, primed him for the defense of his title in Paris.

He’s done it all before – something which can’t be said about young gun and fellow title hopeful Carlos Alcaraz – and will be very motivated given he was forced to miss the opening Grand Slam tournament of the year in Australia.

Rafael Nadal’s price will tempt some but his foot injury has troubled him of late, the Spaniard seeming particularly downbeat after recent losses in Madrid and Rome.

As for a long shot, it makes sense to look to the other side of the draw, where Stefanos Tsitsipas is now a fairly short price to make the final after avoiding the big guns.

Andrey Rublev, who holds a 5-5 career record against potential semi-final foe Tsitsipas, is a possible alternative.

The Russian beat Djokovic to win the Belgrade title last month, winning the deciding set 6-0.

He’s in the same section as second seed Daniil Medvedev, who surely won’t progress deep following his recent hernia surgery and his dislike of the surface.

That provides an opportunity for others and at +5000, Rublev looks worth a wager, particularly with firms offering each-way benefits for reaching the final.

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When Is the French Open 2022

French Open Information
What French Open
Location Roland Garros, Paris, France
Time Sunday, May 22 to Sunday, June 5
How to Watch Tennis Channel, NBC, Peacock (finals on the latter two platforms only)

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Andy Schooler

Expert on Tennis

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.