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Championship Sunday is the only thing separating four teams from the Super Bowl, but just two franchises will advance. The first game on Sunday between the Chiefs and Ravens will decide the AFC.
Kansas City has been inconsistent this season but is playing in their sixth consecutive AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes is the primary reason they’re here once again.
Since the departure of Tom Brady, Mahomes has been the face of the league. He makes some of the most unimaginable plays week after week, but he will have his hands full with Baltimore.
The Ravens ended the regular season with the best record in the NFL. Baltimore has the best all-around team and should win on Sunday.
Ravens quarterback, Lamar Jackson, is the team's leading rusher and passer. Jackson always could make a play with his legs when the pocket collapses, but he has developed his arm.
This season, Jackson acquired more weapons than ever before The emergence of rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers has been incredible for Jackson’s production.
This is a star-studded matchup and we have a juicy same-game parlay for the action.
The Chiefs know how to win in the postseason. Mahomes struggled this season and still had a great year. Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce’s season has followed a similar trajectory.
During the entire regular season, Mahomes and his teammates were never on the same page. However, this has changed over the past two weeks, as Kansas City has looked like a Super Bowl contender.
Kelce scored two touchdowns against Buffalo last week. Those touchdowns were his first since November 20th. Kelce only scored five touchdowns in the regular season compared to 12 last year.
Baltimore possesses the best defense in the NFL. They’ve only allowed 18 passing touchdowns all season, ranking second in the league. Yet, Mahomes must look to Kelce consistently to give the Chiefs a chance. The tight end is the team’s best goal-line threat.
The Chiefs had a dominant passing offense since Mahomes arrived in Kansas City in 2017. This season, including the playoffs, Mahomes has thrown 30 passing touchdowns.
Mahomes averages 1.5 passing touchdowns per game and has 10 multi-touchdown games. This game should be close from start to finish, and Mahomes must continue to try to drive down the field.
The Ravens' defense threatens this prop because of their talent. However, playoff Mahomes can’t and won’t be stopped. We expect the Chiefs' run game to get stuffed and for Mahomes to rely on his arm to move the ball.
The Ravens have thrown the ball this season more than any in recent years. Rookie receiver Zay Flowers has taken full advantage of this change to the offense.
Flowers caught 77 passes for 858 yards during the regular season. He was inconsistent throughout the season but dialed in lately. He has hit the over of 46.5 receiving yards three times in his last four contests.
Jackson uses Flowers as the team's lead receiver, and he also poses a massive deep threat option. Up to this point, Flowers averages just under 50 receiving yards per game.
The Chiefs occupy one of the best passing defenses in the league. The team only gives up 176 passing yards per game. Yet, we expect Jackson to still find Flowers open and for the Chiefs to surrender a few deep shots to Baltimore.
Baltimore has been the team to beat for the majority of the season. There were some doubts a few weeks before the playoffs, but those have drifted away.
The Ravens proved in the regular season they can beat the best teams in the NFL. Baltimore has rolled through their toughest competition, including the San Francisco 49ers.
We don’t believe that Kansas City will be able to hang with Baltimore’s intense defense. Yet, 3.5 points is a big margin to cover, so our final leg of the parlay will feature the moneyline.
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets!
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Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
When: Sunday, January 28 @ 3:00 PM ET
Streaming: CBS Sports App
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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