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Bundesliga Top Four Predictions, Odds, Picks 2022/23

Written by: Greg Lea
Updated February 14, 2023
12 min read
  • The Bundesliga 2022/23 season begins on August 5 and will end on May 27
  • The campaign will take a break in November and December for the World Cup
  • There are four clear favorites to qualify for the Champions League via the Bundesliga

The Bundesliga 2022/23 season gets underway on August 5, and the race for the top four promises to be one of the most dramatic and entertaining things to watch in Germany’s top flight until the campaign ends on May 27.

Bayern Munich’s dominance of the division is such that we are unlikely to be treated to a genuine title tussle. The battle to qualify for the Champions League by finishing in the top four is much less predictable, with several sides thought to be in with a chance.

Bundesliga 2022/23 Top Four Odds

The odds for the Bundesliga 2022/23 Top Four are provided by BetMGM sportsbook.. Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook, sign-up, and place your bet. See if sports betting is legal in your state, here.

Bundesliga 2022/23 Top FourOdds
Borussia Dortmund-1200
RB Leipzig-350
Union Berlin-350
Eintracht Frankfurt+110
Bayer Leverkusen+2000
Borussia Monchengladbach+5000

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Bundesliga Top 4

Who Will Finish in the Bundesliga 2022/23 Top Four?

There are no odds available on Bayern Munich finishing in the top four since that outcome is considered inevitable. It would be a huge shock if the Bavarian outfit did not win the title, let alone finishing fifth or below.

Borussia Dortmund are highly fancied to join them in the Champions League. BVB’s model requires them to sell at least one star player virtually every summer, which makes it difficult for them to close the gap to Bayern. But a top-four finish should be secured comfortably, as Dortmund have done in each of the last seven seasons.

RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen finished in the top four last season, and the sportsbooks believe they will do so again this time around. Wolfsburg, Borussia Monchengladbach and Eintracht Frankfurt are the dark horses, while Freiburg lead a group of outsiders which also includes Hertha Berlin.

If you would like to check out more betting options available to you for the Bundesliga 2022/23 season, make sure you have a read of our guide on how to bet on soccer.

What Happens to the Top Four Teams in the Bundesliga?

The top four teams in the Bundesliga automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. It is therefore a prize worth fighting for, and often the more realistic one for most clubs to aim for given Bayern Munich’s recent monopolization of the Bundesliga title.

In previous seasons, the top three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. That changed at the start of the 2017/18 campaign when UEFA handed more automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including Germany’s top flight.

Who Is on Top of the Bundesliga?

At the time of writing, no matches have taken place in the 2021/22 campaign, so the table is ordered alphabetically. Not even the most ardent Augsburg fan will expect their team to still be occupying top spot come 27 May 2023.

Bayern Munich are the overwhelming favorites to win the title this term. They are the wealthiest team in Germany and have by far the strongest squad. It would take a monumental effort for any other team to be on top of the Bundesliga after all 34 rounds of fixtures have been completed.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes In the Bundesliga Top Four?

(Last 30 seasons, since 1992/93)

Club Number of Top-Four Finishes
Bayern Munich 29
Borussia Dortmund 20
Bayer Leverkusen 15
Schalke 10
Werder Bremen 7
Stuttgart 6
Borussia Monchengladbach 5
RB Leipzig 5
Hamburg 4
Hertha Berlin 4

Bayern Munich have only missed out on the top four in one of the last 30 Bundesliga seasons. The kings of German soccer ended the 1994/95 campaign in sixth spot when Borussia Dortmund won the title.

Dortmund are second with 20 top-four finishes, with Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke the only other sides to have reached double figures. RB Leipzig are the fastest risers in the above table, with the first of their top-four finishes only coming in 2016/17.

Who Are the Top Four in the Bundesliga?

Whereas the Premier League had a ‘big four’ in the 2000s – Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool – the term is not really used in the Bundesliga. It is more common to hear talk of a ‘big two’, referring to Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. Of late, though, it has almost become a ‘big one’ consisting of Bayern alone.

It is probably too early to talk of a ‘big three’ in Germany, but Bayern, Dortmund and RB Leipzig tend to begin each season as the favorites to occupy first, second and third place.

Was the Bundesliga Top Four Always a Goal for Clubs?

It is only in the last few years that Bundesliga clubs have actively targeted a top-four finish. The 2011/12 campaign was not the first time the division’s leading quartet all qualified for the Champions League, but that was the season in which it became established as such.

In the Champions League’s debut campaign of 1992/93, only the Bundesliga title winners were eligible to take part. A second qualification place was added in time for the 1996/97 campaign, and by 1998/99 there were four spots up for grabs to Bundesliga teams.

This dropped down to three in 2001/02 and remained that way until a fourth place was re-added in 2011/12.

Who Is the Bundesliga Champion?

The reigning Bundesliga champions are Bayern Munich, who won the title for the 10th season in a row in 2021/22. Bayern are far superior to any other German side, and it is particularly hard to get the better of them in a 34-game season.

Is the Bundesliga a Top League?

The Bundesliga is one of the top five leagues in Europe, along with the Premier League (England), La Liga (Spain), Serie A (Italy) and Ligue 1 (France).

How Can I Watch the Bundesliga on TV?

Soccer fans based in the United States can watch the Bundesliga on ESPN. Kick-off times usually range from 9.30 AM to 2.30 PM (EDT).

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Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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