Joburg Open Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

Joburg Open Predictions

  • This is the start of a three-week South African swing on the European Tour
  • The par 71 Firethorn course at Randpark plays host
  • Local man Christiaan Bezuidenhout is the clear favorite in the betting

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Joburg Open Championship Odds

PlayerOdds
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+1400
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Adri Arnaus+2000
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Brandon Stone+2000
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Adrian Otaegui+2000
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Joost Luiten+2000
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Matthew Jordan+2200
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Gavin Green+2200
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Marcus Armitage+2200
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Garrick Higgo+2200
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Daniel van Tonder+2200
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Shubhankar Sharma+2500
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Joburg Open Picks

  • Brandon Stone has claimed two of his three European Tour wins on home South African soil. His latest form points to another so go each-way (¼ 1-2-3-4-5) +2000 at bet365.
  • Shubhankar Sharma shot a 61 and won with 23-under the last time he played this week’s course. He can win a 72-hole match against Antoine Rozner (-125 bet365).
  • Local Sunshine Tour player Jacques Blaauw has connected four straight top sixes. T15 in January’s SA Open held here, he can land a top 20 at +350 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Our Picks

Brandon Stone +2000 (e/w ¼ 1-2-3-4-5) at bet365

Shubhankar Sharma to beat Antoine Rozner in a 72-hole match-bet -125 at bet365

Jacques Blaauw to land a top 20 +350 at DraftKings Sportsbook

How to Watch the Joburg Open

Joburg Open Event Information
WhatJoburg Open
WhereRandpark GC, Johannesburg, South Africa
WhenThursday, November 19 – Sunday, November 22
How to WatchThursday 2.00am-5.00am ET (Golf Channel), Friday 5.00am-9.15am (Golf Channel), Saturday 5.00am-9.30am (Golf Channel), Sunday 5.00am-9.30am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

Joburg Open Profile

The European Tour has done superbly well to piece together a schedule during the pandemic.

We’ve been to England, Scotland, Italy, and Cyprus in the last few months. And just when it seemed a dark week was about to appear, a three-week South African Swing was announced.

It starts with this week’s Joburg Open, continues with the Alfred Dunhill Championship, and finishes off with the South African Open.

The latter was last held at Randpark’s Firethorn course in January and that’s the venue once more this week.

Previous editions of the Joburg Open – which ran from 2007 to 2017 – had also taken in a pre-weekend lap at another course.

This time, though, it’s all four days at Firethorn – a par 71 that measures just over 7,500 yards from the tips. That seems quite lengthy but Randpark in Johannesburg is 5,600 feet above sea level so the extra altitude makes the ball fly further.

The venue underwent a major renovation ahead of the 2017 Joburg Open but it still proved a real birdie-fest as India’s Shubhankar Sharma took the title with 23-under. That included a round of 61 on day two.

Looking at the record of home players vs European raiders at the Joburg Open, local South African players have won eight of the 12 editions.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout is the only player taking part who contested The Masters. He finished T38 at Augusta National.

Stone Can Land Third Home Win

This is a great chance for some of South Africa’s classier European Tour players to put a ‘W’ on the board.

And one man who has cashed in previously is Brandon Stone.

The 27-year-old has won three times at this level and two of those ET victories came in his homeland – the BMW SA Open and the Alfred Dunhill Championship.

He was fourth in this event the last time he contested it although that came at Royal Johannesburg & Kensington Golf Club.

At Randpark he was seventh in the South African Open held in 2018, closing with a 66 in round four, so he can definitely score on this track.

Stone, a runner-up in Oman back in March, is rounding into some good form again after three top 20s in his last four starts, the latest T16 in last month’s Scottish Championship.

In Tuesday’s press conference, he reflected:

I had a few nice results before the old lockdown kicked in – obviously losing the play-off in Oman. And then over the last few months now I’ve slowly been getting back to that form again. It feels like it’s really coming together quite nicely now.

Scrambling and good putting have been key skills at this week’s course and in Scotland last time, Stone ranked 1st for Scrambling and 3rd for Strokes Gained: Putting.

Take him each-way +2000 at bet365.

Sharma To Outscore Rozner

One man who will be delighted to see the Joburg Open returning to the European Tour schedule – and being staged at Randpark again – is Shubhankar Sharma.

As noted, the Indian star shot a Friday 61 there on the way to a brilliant victory in December 2017. He finished that week three in front of Erik van Rooyen, who now sits at 52 in the world rankings.

Sharma is put up in a 72-hole match alongside Antoine Rozner and the Frenchman certainly deserves respect.

He’s managed a couple of top 10s in his last six starts although his putter has cooled off in recent events.

Sharma struggled after lockdown but has found some consistency of late and he’s shot in the 60s in his last eight rounds.

But it’s the course angle that really gets him the vote. Rozner has played this layout too although had to settle for T51 and he’s yet to finish better than 30th in five starts in South Africa.

Take Sharma (-125 at bet365) to win this one.

Blaauw To Land in Top 20

Obviously, the addition of European players makes this a step up from a local Sunshine Tour event. But the leap is hardly too dramatic.

That’s why I’m happy to go with an in-form local tour player to finish in the top 20.

Jacques Blaauw certainly fits the bill having reeled off four straight top sixes in recent home events. Two of those came in October and the other pair were earlier this month so this is a recent thermometer check and it bodes well.

In fact, add in T18 at the Vodacom Championship Unlocked and that streak extends to five straight top 20s.

So, can he do it at this slightly higher level? The most recent evidence is yes. His last two finishes in co-sanctioned events like these were tied 36th in the Alfred Dunhill Championship last December and tied 15th in the South African Open in January.

And where was that latter event staged? Yep, here at Randpark.

The +350 at DraftKings Sports for a top 20 looks good business.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.



Email: dave.tindall@wsn.com