Joburg Open Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks
- This is the first event of the new DP World Tour, the rebranded European Tour
- The Joburg Open is one of three events in South Africa before Christmas
- The 7,506-yard Firethorn Course at Randpark plays host once more
Joburg Open Odds
The odds for this tournament are provided by bet365. Click on the odds below to head to bet365 and place a bet.
|Dean Burmester||+1000 |
|Dylan Frittelli||+2000 |
|Romain Langasque||+2200 |
|Johannes Veerman||+2500 |
|Wilco Nienaber||+2500 |
|Brandon Stone||+3000 |
|Matthew Jordan||+3000 |
|George Coetzee||+3300 |
|Shaun Norris||+3300 |
|Justin Harding||+3500 |
|Matthias Schmid||+3500 |
Joburg Open Picks
Dean Burmester is climbing the world rankings fast and won on his last trip home to South Africa. Back him for the win at +1000 with bet365.
Neil Schietekat beat Jayden Schaper in this event last year and has stronger recent Scrambling stats. Take the underrated local to win over 72 holes at +120 with bet365.
Brandon Stone is one of the class acts of the field and, despite some mixed form, can gain a third top 10 in four starts at Firethorn. Back him at +350 with bet365 to do so.
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Joburg Open Predictions
Collin Morikawa became the first American to win the Race to Dubai last week after scoring a brilliant victory in the season-ending DP World Tour Championship.
PGA Tour fans will know that seasons are separated by days rather than weeks or months so we’re straight back on the horse.
It’s a modest field riding into town for the Joburg Open but everyone taking part can at least say they’re a part of history.
Why? This is the very first event of a new era that sees the European Tour become the rebranded DP World Tour.
The opening three events all take part in South Africa before the season returns in January for the money-spinning Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.
It’s a modest purse on offer this week and that’s reflected in the field quality.
Basically, this is a mix of mostly middle-ranking South Africans (there’s no Louis Oosthuizen or Branden Grace for example) and some lower-key European Tour regulars.
The course, the par 71 Firethorn, measures 7,506 yards but plays much shorter3 than that due to it being at altitude: Johannesburg is 1,750 meters above sea level so the ball flies further in the rarified air.
The good news is that punters have a decent bank of course form to peruse.
Firethorn staged this event in 2017 and 2020 along with the 2018 and 2020 editions of the South African Open.
Looking at the four winners, two were elite South Africans (Grace and Oosthuizen) while Denmark’s JB Hansen won this event last year and India’s Shubankar Sharma landed the 2017 Joburg Open.
The short game appears to be particularly important when scanning the stats from those events, with most of the podium finishers ranking highly for Scrambling and Putting Average.
Burmester Looks Best
Dean Burmester has always looked a real talent but struggled for a while to raise himself to the next level.
It’s fair to say he’s taken some big steps forward in recent months and tied sixth in last week’s DP World Tour Championship lifted the South African to 76th in the world rankings.
Burmester was 105th on the OWGR when teeing off in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in Scotland at the start of October but broke into the top 100 with a tied seventh.
His next start saw him return to home soil and hoist the silverware in the South African PGA Championship after a stunning weekend (66-65).
He’s now finished first, second and fourth on his last three starts in South Africa so looks like a deserved favorite in this weak field.
His course form is a little patchy but his two Joburg Open starts here show tied 19th in 2017 and tied 18th last year.
Burmester fired a 65 on day three 12 months ago and opened with a 66 in 2017 so he can definitely score on this track and, of course, his confidence is sky-high right now.
If the short game is needed, he ranked 9th for Scrambling in Dubai last week while he’s been in the top four for Strokes Gained Putting in two of his last three European Tour events.
Add in him being 1st for Driving Distance and second for Greens in regulation at the DP World Tour Championship and he looks to have the full package.
Schietekat Can Outscore Compatriot Schaper
With the emphasis on Scrambling, no one in the field has better recent stats in that department than local man Neil Schietekat.
He’s putting well too, ranking 17th or better for Putting Average in his last three measured events.
Not surprisingly, those good numbers have translated into good finishes and Schietekat has finished fifth (South African PGA Championship) and second (Blair Atholl Championship) in his latest two home events.
What’s more, he has course form too: tied 11th in this event last year and tied 29th in the 2018 South African Open.
His opponent in a 72-hole match is the highly-rated Jayden Schaper.
The two finished tied in their last joint event but Schietekat came out on top when the two teed off at the Blair Atholl.
Schaper has good course form too but his modest recent Scrambling stats suggest he may just struggle to keep up with the pace this time.
Schietekat beat him in this event last year and I’ll back a repeat this week. The good news is that our man is a clear +120 dog to do so.
Stone Can Roll Out Another Top 10
Brandon Stone is one of the class acts in the field although outright odds of +3000 suggest he may not be in the greatest form.
That’s a fair assessment on first glance as he’s missed three of his last five cuts and hasn’t played since early October.
But we’ve seen this film before. Stone goes home to South Africa after a rest and finds a spark.
In three starts at Firethorn, he has a fourth in this event last year and a seventh in the 2018 South African Open.
Widening the lens, he’s made the top 10 in three of his last seven starts in South Africa.
His form may not quite be sharp enough for the win but Stone can cruise to a top 10 quite easily and the price of +350 at bet365 looks generous.
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How to Watch Joburg Open
|Joburg Open Information|
|Location||Firethorn Course, Randpark GC, Johannesburg, South Africa|
|Time||Thursday, November 25 – Sunday, November 28|
|How to Watch||Thursday 5 am-2 pm (Golf Channel), Friday 5 am-2 am (Golf Channel), Saturday 5 am-2 pm (Golf Channel), Sunday 5 am-2 pm (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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