Canada vs USMNT Prediction: Nations League Trophy up for Grabs

Written by: Greg Lea
Published June 16, 2023
5 min read
  • The USA advanced to the Nations League final with a confident victory over Mexico
  • Canada beat Panama by two goals to nil to book their place in the showpiece event
  • This will likely be a close match with both Canada and the USMNT confident of victory

Canada vs USMNT Odds

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Canada vs USMNT Pick

Back the USMNT to beat Canada in the CONCACAF Nations League final. This will not be an easy match but we fancy the Stars and Stripes to get the job done. Go make this bet at FanDuel. 

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Canada vs USMNT Prediction

USA Breeze Past Mexico as Berhalter Returns as Head Coach

Thursday was an eventful day in the world of US soccer. Off the field, it was revealed (although, at the time of the writing, not yet officially confirmed) that Gregg Berhalter will return as the manager of the national team.

The former defender had vacated his post when his contract expired at the end of World Cup 2022. The USA reached the round of 16 of that tournament and performed creditably in a defeat by the Netherlands which sent them home.

But Berhalter was not offered a new deal, in part because of the emergence of historic domestic abuse allegations. An investigation was launched and took a few months to reach its conclusion, which in effect cleared the coach.

Still, it looked like the US Soccer Federation was looking elsewhere for a new boss. Jim Curtin, Jesse Marsch, and Patrick Vieira were all linked with the position. Anthony Hudson was initially handed the reins temporarily before BJ Callaghan replaced him as interim manager.

The latter may have hoped that victory in the Nations League Finals might lead to a permanent role. Instead, Berhalter is on his way back. It remains to be seen whether he or Callaghan will lead the team at the upcoming Gold Cup.

Before that, the USMNT will contest the Nations League final after a fantastic 3-0 defeat of Mexico in the semis. A brace from Christian Pulisic and a goal from Ricardo Pepi earned the Americans the victory in a bad-tempered game that saw two players from each team sent off.

The USA played some excellent soccer against El Tri. Pulisic, Tim Weah and Folarin Balogun shone in attack, while Callaghan will have been delighted with the clean sheet too. 

The USMNT are now unbeaten in six games against their Mexican rivals, but attention has already turned to this weekend’s final.

Canada Are a Force Again and They Should Be Taken Seriously

Canada are force to be reckoned with in the CONCACAF region once more. At the 2015 Gold Cup, they finished bottom of their group behind Jamaica, Costa Rica, and El Salvador after failing to win a single game. In 2019 they were knocked out by Haiti in the quarter-finals.

Fast forward four years and Canada have appeared at a World Cup for the first time since the 1980s, and now reached the final of the Nations League. They will fancy their chances of making an impact at the upcoming Gold Cup too, with a first triumph since 2000 in their sights.

In order to take a step up, soccer nations of Canada’s size rely on a golden generation of players to emerge at the same time.

That is exactly what has happened. Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David are genuine stars. Cyle Larin, Stephen Eustaquio, and Sam Adekugbe also play at a decent level in Europe. Atiba Hutchinson is somehow still going strong in midfield at the age of 40.

John Herdman is the man who has brought everything together to form a coherent whole. Largely unknown in his homeland before the World Cup, the Englishman was previously in charge of Canada’s women’s team prior to switching over to the men in 2018.

He has done an excellent job so far. Canada finished bottom of their group at the World Cup after failing to win a game, but there were plenty of positives to take from their performances. The experience will have done them good moving forward.

Canada proved too strong for Panama in the last four, running out 2-0 winners with a minimum of fuss. They are now just one win away from lifting a trophy.

With Home Advantage Behind Them Back the USA to Triumph

There is unlikely to be too much difference between these two teams on Sunday. Canada like to play in transition, so an end-to-end match may well suit them. But with a front three of Pulisic, Weah, and Balogun, the USMNT can do damage on quick turnovers too.

These two teams have been evenly matched of late. Their last three meetings have produced a win apiece and a draw. Herdman has been with his players for much longer than Callaghan, but news of Berhalter’s imminent return will lead the Americans keen to impress the old/new boss.

Home advantage could be a factor. Of course, Canada’s squad is filled with players who ply their trade overseas, so not playing on home soil is hardly unusual.

But the backing of the majority of the Allegiant Stadium crowd will work in the USA’s favor. As long as they are mindful of Canada’s speed on the break, a victory is well within the hosts’ grasp. Back them to get the job done and win the Nations League Finals.

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How to Watch Canada vs USMNT

  • Teams: Canada vs USMNT
  • Location: Allegiant Stadium, Nevada, United States
  • Date and Time: Jun. 18, 2023, 8.30 p.m. ET 
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Greg Lea

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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
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