Full disclosure, there aren’t a lot of obvious home run candidates on Tuesday. Many of the obvious candidates are facing unfamiliar pitchers, while most of the pitchers who are most vulnerable to the long ball aren’t on the mound. But we’ve dug deep and done our research to pick four home run targets with potential for Tuesday.
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| Best Home Run Props Today | FanDuel | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker Anytime Home Run | +440 | St. Louis Cardinals 49% |
| Munetaka Murakami Anytime Home Run | +390 | Chicago White Sox 42% |
| Taylor Ward Anytime Home Run | +520 | Baltimore Orioles 45% |
| MJ Melendez Anytime Home Run | +420 | New York Mets 62% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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Walker has fallen into a little bit of a power slump after a fast start to the season. But with eight home runs on the year, he’s still a solid home run target most days. Despite going six straight games without a home run, Walker currently has a 15-game hitting streak, so he continues to be productive and could reignite his power at any time.
Tuesday will be Walker’s first time facing Miami’s Chris Paddack. Of course, Paddack has allowed four home runs this season, while pitching to a 5.59 ERA. Most of the damage against Paddack has been done by right-handed hitters, which favors Walker, even in a righty-on-righty matchup.
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Don’t look at his .208 average; instead, focus on the eight home runs Murakami has hit in his first 22 games in the big leagues. His power has undoubtedly transferred fro the Japanese league to MLB. In fact, Murakami has a home run in three consecutive games, so we’re going to roll the dice on that streak continuing.
Obviously, Murakami has no track record against Merrill Kelly, who starts against the White Sox on Tuesday. But keep in mind that Kelly gave up over 20 home runs last season and gave up one in his only start of 2026. The 37-year-old is vulnerable to the long ball, making this a good matchup for Murakami.
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After mashing 36 home runs last season, it’s surprising to see Ward with just one home run through the early part of 2026. But his bat seems to be waking up, as Ward is 4 for 13 with three extra-base hits, including his first home run, over his last three games. It’s not much, but it’s enough to take a chance on a player with big power potential.
Ward and the Orioles will face Kansas City’s Kris Bubic on Tuesday. While he’s had just five career at-bats against Bubic, Ward is 2 for 5 with a home run against the lefty. While Bubic doesn’t give up a lot of home runs, a right-handed power hitter like Ward has a chance to take him deep.
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Admittedly, it’s a surprising move to target someone on the Mets amidst the team’s 11-game losing streak. The Mets are also among the worst at hitting home runs this season. However, Simeon Woods-Richardson has a 6.10 ERA and has given up exactly one home run in each of his four starts. In theory, the Mets are bound to hit at least one home run on Tuesday.
Surprisingly, Melendez is the best option, as he’s 2 for 3 with two doubles in his career against Woods-Richardson. He’s also hitting .357 with a home run since being called up from the minors. Melendez has a swing that makes it clear he’s trying to hit the ball a mile, and given Woods-Richardson’s struggles, he has a decent chance to hit a home run on Tuesday.
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