Best MLB Bets Today | MLB Picks, July 10

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published July 10, 2023
5 min read
Best MLB Bets Today July 10 23

The 2023 Home Run Derby is set for a fun and exciting set of performances as eight of the top batters in the MLB compete for the top batting title in all of baseball. While causal fans watch the next king of the plate be crowned, betters have a great chance to earn solid earnings. With a big-time event full of stars, there will be great opportunities to win big rewards. Bets can be made based on the winner, which player will hit the long-distance home run, who will hit the most home runs, and who the finalists will be.

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out other MLB betting sites for more betting opportunities!

Pete Alonso - Home Run Derby Winner (+310)

The New York Mets (42-48) have experienced an incredibly disappointing season as they have fallen below .500% and they have failed to fully utilize the talent on their team. One player who has been disappointing this season is three-time MLB All-Star first baseman Pete Alonso.

Alonso has the opportunity to join elite status when it comes to the Home Run Derby. If Alonso wins the Derby on Tuesday night, he will have won his third-ever Home Run Derby title joining Hall of Fame Seattle Mariners outfielder Ken Griffey Jr. as the only player to win three titles. Alonso previously won the Derby in 2019 and 2021.

He already has a historic and dominating presence in the Home Run Derby despite his still young career at 28. Alonso has accumulated 174 home runs in three separate three years, which is 56 more than former Cardinals and Angels infielder Albert Pujols.

This makes sense for Alonso to join Griffey as the only three-time winner, with the All-Star Games played in Seattle.

Through 82 games this season, Alonso has accounted for 64 hits, 50 runs, 26 home runs, 61 RBIs, 33 walks, a batting average of .211, an on-base percentage of .310, and a slugging percentage of .497. He is on pace to eclipse 50 home runs this season, which would be the first time he has accomplished this since his rookie year in 2019.

He has accounted for two home runs in his eight games played in July. Alonso is one of three players of eight total participants in this year’s Home Run Derby to account for multiple home runs.

Mookie Betts - Finalist for the Home Run Derby (+475)

There will be several matchups that will fun for MLB fans to watch. For betters, the matchup of the players has more meaning and could earn more earnings.

One matchup that could earn betters some great earnings based on what bets they are made is the matchup between Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts and Toronto Blue Jays infielder Vladimir Guerrero Jr. DraftKings have Guerrero with the third lowest odds (+190) to be a finalist in the Home Run Derby on Tuesday. Betts has the second-highest odds (+475).

Guerrero has the youth, and the experience in previous Home Run Derbies, he was the MLB’s home run leader in 2021 and has just been selected to his third consecutive MLB All-Star Game this season. There are some concerns with Guerrero and his ability to account for the big hits this 2023 MLB Season.

Betts, on the other hand, has the experience in the league, the batting accolades going into the Home Run Derby, and the momentum. Through 86 games this season, Betts has accounted for 26 home runs while Guerrero has accounted for only 13.

Betts is one of three players in the Home Run Derby to account for more than 23 home runs this season. A lot has changed since Guerrero had his big 91 home run performance in the 2019 Home Run Derby, which was won by Pete Alonso. Betts has turned into one of the most reliable batters, not only for the Dodgers but in the entire MLB. This is a matchup that may not go the way sportsbooks believe.

Julio Rodriguez - Most Home Runs in Home Run Derby (+370)

For a player to win the Home Run Derby, they have to be consistent in accounting for home runs, not just accounting for the most home runs in a single derby. It doesn’t hurt a player’s chances to stack up home runs.

One player that should have a great chance for the 2023 Home Run title is 22-year-old Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez. The young star was in the final round of the 2022 MLB Home Run Derby before losing to San Diego Padres outfielder Juan Soto for the title.

In the first round last year, Rodriguez accounted for 32 home runs against the 24 home runs of Texas Rangers shortstop Corey Seager. In the second round, Rodriguez accounted for 31 home runs, which was eight more than Alonso’s 23. Rodriguez accounted for 18 home runs in the final round, which was one short of Soto’s 19 home runs.

Rodriguez accounted for 81 home runs in last year’s Home Run Derby averaging 27 in each round. Soto defeated Cleveland Guardians infielder 18-to-17 in round one and then Albert Pujols 16-to-15. Soto averaged 17.7 home runs in each round last year.

Rodriguez is looking to avenge his tough one-score loss to Soto in this year’s Derby, where he will have more eyes on him. He has the chance to become the first player for the Mariners to win the Home Run Derby since Ken Griffey Jr. in 1999. Rodriguez will have the home-field advantage going into this year’s derby set in Seattle.

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Michael Hanich

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
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