The Monday MLB slate is limited, but the betting value is immense. The action begins with Paul Skenes and the Pirates hosting Miami.
We believe the Pirates will prevail in this game, and we’re parlaying this game with the Royals moneyline and the over in the Orioles vs. Red Sox game.
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Let’s dive into our three-leg parlay that you can get at +550.
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There was a time when Paul Skenes was one of the frontrunners for the NL Cy Young Award, but this is no longer true. Jackson Merrill took the prize right out of Skenes' hands with a fantastic second half of the season. However, Skenes has still been one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball since making his MLB debut.
Skenes is 9-2 on the season with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. He has 142 strikeouts in 114 innings and will face a horrendous Marlins club on Monday. If you are a fan of strikeouts, Skenes should have plenty against Miami, one of the worst offenses in baseball.
The Pirates have struggled to post consecutive wins, but they have an excellent chance against Valente Bellozo of the Marlins. He is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP.
Over 47.2 innings, he has walked 17 batters. If the Pirates can work the count, they have an excellent chance to thrive against Bellozo, leading them to a win on Monday,
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The Royals must continue winning if they want to win the AL Central in 2024. Kansas City is 2.5 games back in the division from Cleveland, but there is a realistic pathway to a division title. It starts by taking a series from the Yankees.
If Kansas City is going to steal a game against New York as a heavy underdog, it would be on Monday. Aaron Judge has been batting below .200 in the past 30 days, which has cost New York’s lineup.
Additionally, the Yankees are just 4-6 in their past ten games. Kansas City is also 4-6, but their pitcher, Brady Singer, has a good chance of pitching them to a win.
Judge's current average at the dish shortens New York’s lineup. Singer hasn’t been good, but he has posted numbers similar to Carlos Rodon of the Yankees.
If Singer can pitch Rodon to a stalemate, the value is very high for the Royals at +150.
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The Red Sox and Orioles both hit baseball exceptionally well. Baltimore has been better than Boston on offense, but not by much throughout most of the season.
The Orioles have a consistency advantage, but Boston has hit well at home in 2024. Additionally, both pitchers have been very good at allowing crooked numbers.
Cade Povich will pitch for Baltimore. He is 2-7 with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.6 WHIP. He has allowed 69 hits in 59.1 innings with 26 walks.
Brayan Bello will throw for the Red Sox, and he is 12-7 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Like Povich, he has also allowed over one hit per inning and under one strikeout per frame.
Rafael Devers and Gunnar Henderson should have a field day on offense.
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