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Best MLB Same Game Parlay Picks Today: Mets and Braves Battle for Playoff Position

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published September 30, 2024
4 min read
Best MLB Parlay Picks Today 2024 09 30

The MLB postseason bracket will be finalized on Monday when the Mets face the Braves. A doubleheader is scheduled, and the final playoff seeding will be decided.

If the Mets and Braves split the doubleheader, they each will play in the postseason. However, if one team sweeps, the Diamondbacks will receive the final playoff berth. We have a same-game parlay for the first matchup, which is scheduled for 1:10 PM EST.  

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Let’s dive into our three-leg parlay that you can get at +1275.

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MLB Parlay Picks Today: Mets vs. Braves (1:10 PM, EST)

Braves Moneyline (-154) at bet365

The Braves didn’t have their best season in the NL East, but the ultimate goal every season is to make the playoffs. The team is currently one win away from playing in October, and we believe they will win the first game of the doubleheader. 

Atlanta’s moneyline price of -154 is fair, considering they have Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. He is 8-7 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. The pitcher has been fantastic and is built for big games. 

Tylor Megill has also been solid for New York. He won’t make anything easy for Atlanta’s lineup, but the Braves still have a solid core of offensive stars. Megill is 4-5 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. 

He has allowed just 62 hits in 72.1 innings, but the walks have been an issue. His 30 walks in 72.1 innings isn’t a recipe for success, and it’s the reason the Mets have lost more than won with him on the mound. 

Atlanta hasn’t been as dominant as New York this season on offense, but the pitching should carry them to a win to start the day.

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Marcell Ozuna Home Run (+350) at bet365

We consider Monday a playoff game because each team needs a win to clinch a spot in the postseason. In the playoffs, star players must step up to lead their team to victory, and Marcell Ozuna enters the mix in these spots.

Ozuna is one of the best power hitters in baseball. He is batting .304 on the season with 39 home runs and 102 RBIs. He hit a home run in his last game against the Mets on September 24.

The Mets fear Ozuna because he has single-handedly beaten them multiple times this season. Ozuna is batting .359 with a .457 OBP and a .692 OPS against the Mets. 

He has hit four home runs against New York, which is the most of any team he has faced this season. Ozuna is a strong hitter at home as well. 

He is batting .290 and has hit 19 of his 39 home runs in Atlanta. Adding a home run leg to a same-game parlay is always risky, but Ozuna has a great chance of going deep in game one on Monday.

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Under 7.5 Runs (-105) at bet365

The Mets have many MLB-caliber players, but New York has struggled in big games historically. We believe their nerves could play a huge mix in this contest, preventing runs from being scored. 

Schwellenbach has been dominant recently, and we expect him to deal in this contest. Additionally, Megill can be a shutdown pitcher for five innings on any given night.

We’re leaning under 7.5 because of the starting pitchers and the strategy behind elimination games. Managers have a short leash for their pitchers in these games because one wrong decision can ruin a series. 

If any pitcher struggles, they will be pulled immediately, which helps limit the total. This is why the under of 7.5 runs is a viable betting strategy.

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Tanner Kern

Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NCAAF
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: Fanatics Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace
Experience: 4 years
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