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Best MLB Prop Bets This Weekend | MLB Player Props, July 29-30

Written by: Michael Savio
Published July 29, 2023
13 min read
Reds vs Brewers predictions

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

My Pick: Brice Turang Under 0.5 Hits (+165 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Brewers’ second baseman Brice Turang (.202 BA, 4 HR, 20 RBI) is expected to be vital to this Brewers franchise for years to come. While his defensive play has been as good as expected (1 error this season), his bat has been a major problem for this Milwaukee lineup. Turang is struggling to keep his batting average over the Mendoza line, and he has a .200 average so far in July. Turang’s struggles continued against the Braves last night, and now he’ll be up against a tougher challenge in pitcher Bryce Elder.

Elder (7-2, 3.30 ERA) will get the start for the Braves tonight. The young star was fantastic against the Crew last Sunday, allowing just two runs on four hits over six innings. Turang did get hit against him in that game, but it came on a mistake from Elder. We expect another dominant start from the Braves’ young pitcher tonight, leading to Turang putting up another hitless state line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

My Pick: Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+108 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Our next bet comes from one of the weekend’s top series. We have two offenses loaded with talent, but both have struggled to find consistency with their pitching. The Astros were hit with a slew of injuries to their starting rotation, which led to 24-year-old Hunter Brown (6-7, 4.19 ERA) becoming a crucial part of this rotation. We have seen flashes of the pitcher he could become in the future, and Tampa got a front-row seat to it back in April. Brown struck out eight over seven innings against the Rays in April, which was when the Tampa offense was at its best. Considering the Rays' lineup has sputtered of late, Brown should be able to last at least six innings, giving him plenty of time to hit the sevens strikeout mark.

While the Rays have no talent shortage, they have not looked like themselves since the All-Star break. They are averaging 3.3 runs since this mid-season showcase as they attempt to regain their form from the first half of the season. While they won last night, we saw some of their offensive struggles first-hand. They struck out nine times last night against Astros’ starter Cristian Javier. That was the pitcher's third-highest strikeout total of the season. Now they’ll be up against Brown, who has been striking out batters at a much higher clip. Look for them to struggle on the road against the Houston starter, leading to another big strikeout total tonight. 

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays

My Pick: Alec Manoah Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-111 at Caesars Sportsbook)

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Blue Jays’ starter Alek Manoah (2-8, 6.10 ERA) has been one of the biggest disappointments of the 2023 MLB season. The 25-year-old looked like he would be one of the league’s best pitchers, but he has fallen apart this season. His ERA continues to rise, leading to early exits for the former star. He has only lasted thru the sixth inning once since April 22. That limits Manoah's strikeout totals, which is why he has struck out less than six in three of his last five starts. That includes two starts in which he did not strike a batter out. 

While the Angels aren’t known for their offense, they will have some extra motivation tonight. During Toronto’s win last night, a TV camera caught Matt Chapman making a comment about the Angels’ lineup. He said no one can hit aside from Ohtani, and cameras could easily tell what the third baseman said. While he is right, that won’t matter today. The Angels have been reinvigorated after making big trades and pulling Shohei Ohtani off the trade market. The team has responded by winning games and scoring more runs. While they were quiet last night, they have scored at least six runs in four of their previous five games. Given Manoah’s well-documents struggles and the Angels added motivation for payback, look for a short night for the former All-Star. 

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Michael Savio

358 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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