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The Astros have been crushing the Red Sox over the past two weeks. Houston’s offense is firing on all cylinders, and they’re coming off a 13-5 win. Bookmakers believe this offensive momentum will carry into Tuesday, but we’re not so sure against Brayan Bello.
Bello has been the one Red Sox pitcher who has found success against Houston lately. In his last start against the Astros, he went seven innings and allowed just one earned run. Bello got lucky throughout this start but found ways to escape jams.
Bello’s out-recorded total is listed at 17.5 on Tuesday for -115. The usual odds behind his outs-recorded total is -140 or higher. However, since he is facing such a good offense, bookmakers have made the odds much more favorable.
Bello would have to throw six full innings for this wager to hit. Six innings has been his standard start, and he has been one of the best wings for Boston throughout the season. Bello is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP.
He has made 14 starts since the beginning of July and has gone over his innings total 12 times. This is an 85% hit rate and worth taking every week when Bello takes the bump.
The Cubs are hot, and so is Justin Steele. Steele has seemed to be Chicago’s good luck charm. Even when he hasn’t pitched up to his standard, the Cubs have still found ways to win. The team is confident when he is on the mound, which shows in their play.
Chicago has won 11 of Steele’s past 12 starts, and the pitcher has been solid in many of those matchups. He is 14-3 with a 2.8 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP on the season, and his strikeout total is listed at 5.5 on Tuesday against the Brewers.
Steele has gone over this total in every game during August and in seven of his past eight starts. The pitcher is so good at neutralizing batters and taking away their strengths. We should see this on Tuesday against Milwaukee.
The Brewers are in the middle of the league regarding strikeouts per game. In 12 innings against Milwaukee this season, Steele has recorded 13 strikeouts against the Brewers. If he can pitch six innings in this contest, we fully expect him to exceed 5.5 strikeouts.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has been the favorite to win NL MVP for most of the season. He was -350 to win the award at the All-Star break, but things have changed. Mookie Betts is now the favorite to win the NL MVP and has been playing tremendous baseball.
Betts is batting .312 with 35 homers, 93 RBI, and a 1.011 OPS. He is in the top five in home runs, RBI, and OPS. Betts was hitless with two strikeouts in the opener against Arizona. Yet, we’re expecting a massive bounce back on Tuesday night.
In his prior series against the Red Sox, Betts was 7 for 15 with two doubles, a homer, and four RBI. Betts can get involved in multiple ways, which is why we will take over 1.5 on his hits + runs + RBI prop.
Betts can cash this bet with a single swing or through multiple at-bats. This is why the odds are slightly juiced at -150, but it’s worth it, considering how strong the outfielder has been playing. He will face Merril Kelly, who has a sub-three ERA but has been more susceptible to offense on the road.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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