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Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props July 31

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published July 31, 2023
18 min read
Best MLB Player Props July 31 2023

Kyle Gibson Over 17.5 Outs (-140 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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Gibson is facing a tough challenge on Monday with the Orioles facing the Blue Jays. However, he has a good track record against several of Toronto’s hitters. More importantly, despite a modest season with a 4.68 ERA, the 35-year-old veteran has done a good job of eating up innings for Baltimore this year. 

Over his last five outings, Gibson has completed at least six full innings four times. Even though he’s given up multiple runs in all of those games, Gibson has still been able to register at least 18 outs. On the season, Gibson has made 21 starts and finished six innings 13 times, so more times than not, he gets 18 outs. That includes seven full innings in a strong performance in May in his only other starts this year against the Blue Jays.

Griffin Canning Over 3.5 ER (+100 at DraftKings), Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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There is value on Monday in both fading and backing Canning in different bets. First, there are plus odds on Canning allowing at least four earned runs, which is usually a safe bet for any pitcher facing the Braves. Over the weekend, Atlanta’s lineup scored 29 total runs in three games against Milwaukee, so the Braves are red-hot right now. While Canning has allowed two runs in back-to-back starts, that happened against the Tigers and Yankees. In his two previous starts, he got shelled by the Dodgers and D’Backs, so look for the Braves to do the same thing.

At the same time, Canning has been striking out hitters at a high rate lately. The caveat is when he didn’t record any strikeouts in his start against the Dodgers earlier this month, leaving the game after just 2.2 innings. But if you take that game away, Canning has at least seven strikeouts in five of his last six starts and six of his last eight starts. Even when he allowed five runs over six innings against the Diamondbacks last month, he struck out nine batters, so Canning has a chance to reach six strikeouts while also giving up some runs against the Braves.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135 at DraftKings)

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Naturally, Acuna is one hitter who has a chance to do some damage against Canning. He’s never faced the Los Angeles starter, although he’s always a good bet to put together a multiple-hit game or get an extra-base hit. You can get plus odds on Acuna having a multiple-hit game, but over 1.5 total bases provides a little more leeway.

Acuna went over 1.5 total bases in all three games of Atlanta’s series with the Brewers over the weekend. He has now gone over 1.5 total bases five times in his last seven games. While 

Acuna struggled to collect extra-base hits during his team’s recent road series, but he started to hit up again while at home over the weekend. Look for that to continue with Acuna making a huge impact on Monday’s game.

Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-155 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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After a couple of hiccups against the Brewers, Abbott is back on track and continues to have a sensational rookie season. Over 10 starts, he’s 6-2 with a 1.90 ERA and 66 strikeouts over 61.2 innings. Since he’s averaging more than a strikeout per inning and has completed at least six innings in eight of his 10 starts, Abbott is a safe bet to reach six strikeouts on Monday, even against a hot Chicago lineup.

More importantly, Abbott has reached six strikeouts in seven of his 10 starts. He’s also coming off an outing in which he struck out nine over six scoreless innings against the Brewers. This will be his first time facing the Cubs this season, meaning Chicago hitters might need some time to adjust to a pitcher who has befuddled many lineups early in his career, increasing the chances of Abbott getting to at least six strikeouts.

Austin Gomber Over 3.5 Earned Runs (-125 at DraftKings) Over 6.5 Hits (-105 at DraftKings)

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Gomber is usually a good pitcher to fade. He owns a 5.83 ERA and has been even worse at home, where he has a 7.19 ERA. Gomber is also set to face the Padres, who are confident and riding a wave of momentum after sweeping the Rangers over the weekend. They’ll want to come out swinging against Gomber, especially since several San Diego hitters have a good track record against him.

Surprisingly, Gomber has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts. He’s also allowed six hits or less in seven of his last eight starts. On the other hand, the Padres have a lineup that’s built to make life hard for left-handed hitters. The Padres also hit Gomber for seven runs on 11 hits, including three home runs over just four innings when they saw him in June. A return to Coors Field on Monday should be equally fruitful for the Padres and equally troubling for Gomber. 

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AUTHOR

Bryan Zarpentine

140 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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