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First up on our MLB prop bets card for Wednesday is for the Toronto Blue Jays to win in Miami over the Marlins, thanks in large part to the efforts of Kevin Gausman. Here, we will play the player performance doubles prop, backing Gausman to strike out at least six Marlins while the Blue Jays will win the game. At a plus price, there is some significant value here, as Gausman takes on an opposing pitcher who has been overvalued in betting markets all season long.
That starter for the Marlins is Sandy Alcantara, who has not lived up to the form he exhibited when winning the NL Cy Young award unanimously a season ago. Alcantara is 2-5 on the season with an ERA of 4.97, as it does not appear that he will turn things around as expected. Look for Gausman to benefit from that in this game, as he has a clear advantage in this pitching matchup.
Expect Gausman to come out with a little extra juice in this game, given that the Blue Jays have lost three games in a row leading up to his Wednesday start. The Blue Jays ace has not lost a start since early May and has won in four of his last five outings. Toronto has called upon Gausman to stop their bleeding time and time again this season, and he will deliver for them again on Wednesday afternoon.
In Minnesota, the Boston Red Sox will look to stay hot on Wednesday as they take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Boston has won the first two games of this series and has won six games in a row overall heading into Wednesday. But the Twins are a great value play to score first when these teams face off for the third game of their four-game series.
The Twins come into this game with a significant pitching advantage working in their favor, which will help them get on the board before Boston. Sonny Gray gets the start for the Twins in this game, who enters with a 4-1 record and an ERA of 2.37. He should be able to hang more zeroes than Garrett Whitlock to begin this game, with Whitlock coming in at a respectable 4-2, but with a much higher ERA of 4.38.
Minnesota has an advantage in the power department that could also help them to score first in this matchup. While the Red Sox have scored more runs this season, Minnesota has hit more home runs by a significant margin. An early long ball could be just what the Twins need to score first in this contest and to cash this prop bet at a plus price.
The final MLB prop bet on our Wednesday card is for Aaron Nola to get the win in the NL East matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. Nola, like the aforementioned Sandy Alcantara, has not lived up to the expectations laid out for him at the beginning of this season. But he does have an edge on the mound over a less experienced hurler as the Phillies look to rebound from Tuesday’s loss to Atlanta.
Nola comes into this matchup with a 6-5 record but with a higher-than-expected 4.66 ERA. Here, he faces a 20-year-old starter in Atlanta’s AJ Smith-Shawver, who will take part in just his second career start on the road. Smith-Shawver pitched just 2.1 innings in his first career road start against the Arizona Diamondbacks and could struggle in what should be a longer outing against a division rival on Wednesday night.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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