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It hasn't been a great season for Bregman, who is well below his career averages in most categories. But he’s still someone who can be trusted to get a hit when things are going well. That’s the case right now, as Bregman has put together an 11-game hitting streak. Bregman has also gone over 1.5 total bases seven times in those 11 games, so there is great value in that bet as well.
On top of being in a groove, Bregman and the Astros are set to face Alek Manoah, who also hasn’t been himself this season. Manoah owns a 5.46 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP. He hasn’t even managed to get out of the fifth inning in four of his last five starts. While Bregman is just 1 for 3 in his career against Manoah, that one hit was a home run. With Bregman getting hot and Manoah struggling, Houston’s third baseman is an excellent bet to do some damage on Monday.
The bar is high for Arraez, who must collect at least two hits. However, that bar isn’t as high as it seems for the reigning AL batting champ. Arraez is currently hitting .392 and is in one of his best stretches of the season. Outside of a three-double game on Saturday, extra-base hits are somewhat of a rarity for Arraez. That makes two hits a greater value than two total bases.
Arraez has at least two hits in seven of his last 12 games and in six of his last nine games. Even for him, the 26-year-old is in a groove right now, so betting on him to get two hits on any given day isn’t a bad bet. Meanwhile, the Royals appear to be set for a bullpen game against Arraez and the Marlins on Monday. Kansas City’s bullpen has allowed the fourth-most hits of any bullpen in the majors this season, which points to another multi-hit game for Arraez.
Wainwright didn't begin his season until May, and it hasn’t gone well thus far. The 41-year-old has a 6.15 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP through five starts. He hasn't even faced that many good offensive teams, struggling against the Reds and Royals in his last two starts. The job gets tougher when he faces the Texas lineup on Monday, which is why we’ll jump on the bandwagon and take a chance on the lucrative odds that have Wainwright struggling on Monday.
In his first five starts, Wainwright has allowed at least four earned runs three times. He also lucked out because three of the runs he gave up in one start were unearned; otherwise, it would have been four of five starts allowing at least four earned runs. Likewise, Wainwright has allowed at least seven hits in four of his five starts. Surprisingly, Wainwright has completed at least five innings in each start because he has a good reputation, so there is a belief that he can pitch himself out of trouble. But that won’t be easy on Monday. With the Rangers scoring 28 total runs over their last two games, they could have a lot of success on Monday against Wainwright.
Don’t let his 6-1 record fool you because Perez has not had as much success in 2023 as he did a year ago. The southpaw owns a modest 4.43 ERA and a troubling 1.54 WHIP. While he’s been able to escape trouble at times, Perez has allowed at least six hits in eight consecutive starts and nine of his 11 starts overall this year. It’s shocking to see even odds on that bet, giving the over all kinds of value.
At the same time, striking out batters isn’t something Perez has done this season, which isn’t a surprise. Honestly, we would have taken under 3.5 strikeouts with him, so under 4.5 is an even safer bet. Perez hasn’t struck out more than three batters in five of his last six starts. The lefty has totaled more than four strikeouts just twice in his last nine starts. The Cardinals may not be the best offensive team in 2023, but they have enough quality hitters to grab at least six hits against Perez while avoiding an inordinate number of strikeouts.
Despite some ugly overall numbers on the season, Snell has started to turn the corner this season. Over his last two starts, the lefty has allowed just one run on seven hits over 11 innings. In fact, Snell has kept opponents to four hits or less in four of his last five starts and six of his last eight starts. He’s settled in nicely and should be able to keep it going against the Cubs on Monday.
There are a limited number of Cubs who have had a good track record against Snell during their careers. Also, prior to scoring seven runs on Sunday, the Cubs managed just two total runs over the first two games of this series. In fact, in their last 10 games, the Cubs have scored two runs or less six times. This is a lineup that’s struggling, which is another reason to believe that Snell can have another good outing.
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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.More info on Bryan Zarpentine
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