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Marcus Stroman has cooled off somewhat after a hot start to the 2023 Major League Baseball season. But he is still a nice value to record at least five strikeouts against the New York Mets on Wednesday at Wrigley Field. Looking at the home/road splits for Stroman, he has been much more effective at home when it comes to striking out opposing hitters, and that should continue in this contest.
In 29 innings of work at home so far this season, Stroman has struck out 31 batters and has an opponent batting average of .190. On the road, Stroman has recorded just 20 strikeouts and has an opponent batting average of .232 in 27 innings. He has been way better at Wrigley than he has been elsewhere, and that trend continuing should get us the strikeouts we need to cash this prop.
New York’s bats were held in check by Drew Smyly on Tuesday night, which bodes well for Stroman in this game. Smyly struck out five Mets in five innings of work en route to the Cubs’ win. Stroman should be able to equal or exceed that performance to help the Cubs compete for another much-needed victory at home to help their cause in the NL Central race.
Another MLB pitcher prop worth taking on Wednesday comes in Minnesota, where the Twins will host the San Francisco Giants. Joe Ryan is on the mound for Minnesota, and we like him to get the win to snap the Twins’ three-game losing streak. Ryan has been pitching at a high level all season long, and that should continue against a Giants team that is in the bottom half of the league in runs scored on the year.
Ryan enters this matchup at 6-1 with a 2.25 ERA on the season for Minnesota, though wins have not been coming easily for him of late. Despite giving up two or fewer runs in five straight starts, Ryan has only gone 2-1 over that stretch. But Ryan is going to put his team in a position to win this game once again, and that should be enough to help the Twins get over the hump on Wednesday afternoon.
A game like this one provides a nice litmus test for Ryan and the Twins as a whole. The Giants are a .500 team coming into this matchup, and a game against a .500 team with their ace on the mound is exactly the type of game that the Twins should be able to win at home. Look for the Twins to take advantage of this opportunity to extend their lead in what has been a less-than-stellar AL Central from top to bottom.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late for the Yankees, hitting a home run in three of his last four games. He has also driven in at least one run in each of those last four outings. On Wednesday, expect Judge to continue his streak of games with at least a run batted in to five in a row, as he should drive in at least a run against the Baltimore Orioles.
The pitching matchup for this game is favorable toward Judge, as he faces a familiar foe in Baltimore’s Tyler Wells. In 14 career at-bats against Wells, Judge has hit .429, with two home runs and four RBI. With Judge hitting as well as he has been of late, there is no reason to believe that his hot hitting against Wells will subside, as the Yankee slugger is a great value to knock in at least one run at a plus price.
So far this year, Judge has played in 39 games for the Yankees and has driven in at least one run in 18 of those games. While that means he is only 18-21 in this prop market this season, it is worth remembering that he was battling an injury early in the season. With Judge looking healthy now, a plus price for him to drive in a run or more is certainly worth taking.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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