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Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props, May 29

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published May 29, 2023
18 min read
MLB Prop Bets May 29

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115 at DraftKings)

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We’re at a point where Freeman should be considered as a prop bet for multiple hits or multiple bases every day. The guy is putting together another MVP-caliber season and is batting .382 with a 1.155 OPS during the month of May. He has a 16-game hitting streak with multiple hits in 12 of those games, including three in a row over the weekend. That alone makes him an excellent bet for over 1.5 total bases.

On top of that, Freeman also has an excellent track record against Washington starter Trevor Williams, who he and the Dodgers will face on Monday. Freeman is 5 for 13 (.385) in his career against Williams. Of course, if Freeman doesn’t do damage against Williams, he also has a chance to reach at least two total bases against the Washington bullpen.

Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125 at DraftKings)

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Rodriguez has never faced Domingo German heading into Monday’s game. However, German is coming off a suspension for a foreign substance, so he might not be his sharpest following the long layoff. That could make him particularly vulnerable against great hitters, especially the red-hot Rodriguez.

The 22-year-old phenom has had five straight multi-hit games. Obviously, he could be pushing his luck if he hopes to extend that streak. But Rodriguez shows no signs of slowing down. He also has an extra-base hit in four straight games and five of his last seven games during his current hitting streak. Even if he doesn’t get two hits, Rodriguez still has a chance to go over 1.5 total bases, so there is great value at +125.

Nathan Eovaldi Over 18.5 Outs (+100 at DraftKings)

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Needless to say, it’s always risky in today’s game to bet on any starting pitcher to get an out in the seventh inning. But with +100 odds, that’s a calculated risk with Eovaldi on Monday. He is on a roll, pitching at least seven full innings in five consecutive starts. That includes two complete games and another start in which he was one out shy of a complete game.

Eovaldi has been incredibly efficient, not to mention effective, which makes it likely for him to stay hot against a Detroit lineup that’s averaging just 3.8 runs per game this season. The Tigers have a largely young lineup that Eovaldi should eat alive. At this point, it’d be surprising if Eovaldi didn’t last at least seven innings, which would actually be a short outing based on his recent track record.

Bryce Miller Under 5.5 Hits (-150 at DraftKings)

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Frankly, taking the under on 4.5 hits is also a viable option given how good Miller has been at the start of his career. He’s putting up historic numbers right now, posting a 1.15 ERA over the first 31.1 innings of his career. In his first five starts, Miller hasn’t allowed more than four hits while pitching at least six innings. In fact, he’s only allowed two hits in three of those five starts.

How are the Yankees supposed to get six hits against him when Miller is yet to allow more than four in a game? While the Yankees scored 10 runs in a slugfest on Sunday, they scored just five total runs in their previous three games, so they aren’t in a good place right now. The Yankees were also home on Sunday and flying out to the West Coast, so they could be a little jet-lagged. Plus, Miller is yet to allow a run in either of his home starts this season, so he’s poised to be dominant yet again.

Sonny Gray, Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125 at DraftKings)

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There aren’t many pitchers in baseball who have been better than Gray this season. While the Twins have yet to win one of his starts during the month of May, that’s hardly Gray’s fault. In 10 starts in 2023, Gray has only allowed more than two earned runs once. Even if he’s been a little less dominant in May than he was in April, he’s still a safe bet to pitch five innings and allow two runs or less.

Of course, a potent Houston lineup will be a challenge for him. But outside of Jose Altuve, Gray has a solid track record against most of Houston’s lineup. The Astros have also been shut out twice in their last five games, so they can be vulnerable against quality pitching. That should allow Gray to have another good outing and leave the game having allowed two runs or less.

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Bryan Zarpentine

168 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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