Best NRFI Bets Today: Erick Fedde to Shut Down the Brewers Offense

We kick off Friday’s slate of NRFIs with the Chicago White Sox battling it out against the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Angels facing off against the Seattle Mariners. Both the Milwaukee Brewers and Seattle Mariners have the opportunity to pad their lead at the top of their respective division standings, yet both are going deep in their rotation in an attempt to skate past a weak offensive unit without burning a more productive arm. For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

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Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Erick Fedde vs. Tobias Myers (8:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-111) at FanDuel

The Chicago White Sox don’t really have too much going for them, ranking near dead last across the board in Offensive Team Total Hits, Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, RBIs, and Defensive Team Total ERA. They do possess an above league average Defensive Efficiency mark, but that is hardly enough to turn their season around as they are already projected to finish dead last in the league per PECOTA.

With that said, the White Sox Erick Fedde may be their lone bright spot as he has had an exceptional start to his 2024 campaign as Chicago’s starting pitcher. In 11 games started so far this season, Fedde possesses an ERA of 2.80, a WHIP of 1.073, 58 Total Strikeouts, 51 Hits Allowed, and 20 Earned Runs Against. He certainly is not to blame for any of Chicago’s shortcomings this early in the year.

Every bit of his production will be needed against a productive Brewers offense that has been a shocking revelation this early in the season. Projected to finish fourth in their own division, the Brewers have quickly managed to catapult up to first place in the NL Central standings. Their offense has played a major part in that as they rank above league average in Team Total Hits, On Base Percentage, Runs Scored, and RBIs.

As for the Brewers' defense, they have been equally impressive as they rank above league average in both Team Total ERA and Defensive Efficiency. Their high level of defensive play gives their rotational pitcher Tobias Myers much needed breathing room knowing he has elite support behind him. Myers comes into the contest with an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.388, 22 Hits Allowed, and 11 Earned Runs Against in 6 games played.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-111) at FanDuel 

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - Jose Soriano vs. Bryan Woo (10:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-136) at FanDuel

Our next NRFI of the day follows a similar script as the previously mentioned one, backing a productive pitcher against an above league average hitting unit while a rotational arm faces off against an anemic offense. Even without Mike Trout, the Los Angeles Angels have managed to stay above league average in Team Total Hits. Better yet for the NRFI, their offense dips to below average in Runs Scored, RBIs, and On Base Percentage.

Their struggles to bring runners home are poised to continue in this matchup as the Mariners' Bryan Woo has dazzled in his minimal appearances so far this season. In just four games played, Woo comes into the contest with an ERA of 1.66 and WHIP of 0.600. His WHIP is especially inviting to target as it indicates less than one batter is getting on base per inning.

As for the Angels' defense, they rank above league average in Defensive Efficiency and now get the benefit of facing off against a weak Mariners offense that ranks bottom four in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. An oddity for a team that is in first place of the AL West standings. Their inability to generate any sort of offensive production will be on full display against the Angels Jose Soriano who comes into the contest with an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.185.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-136) at FanDuel 

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