Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the Red Sox Offense

The Boston Red Sox have been terrible at the plate, and that makes them a perfect NRFI candidate. They will travel to Baltimore to face the Orioles, and this is the first game on my betting card.

I’m targeting the NRFI in this game, along with two other matchups on Friday’s slate.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Friday, April 24

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Red Sox vs. Orioles - Brayan Bello vs. Brandon Young (7:05 PM EST)

The Boston Red Sox were swept by the Yankees, and the vibes around the team couldn’t be lower. The Orioles went through similar struggles in 2025, but they’ve responded with a decent start to the 2026 season.

Under 0.5 Run (-111) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Brayan Bello will pitch for the Red Sox, and he’s been granted an extra day of rest heading into this game. Payton Tolle pitched on Thursday, which was originally Bello’s scheduled start date earlier in the week.

Bello typically pitches better in day games, and while this matchup has a 7:05 PM start, the extra rest should still benefit him. He’s off to a slow start with a 6.75 ERA, but he has been solid against the Orioles throughout his career.

Brandon Young will pitch for Baltimore, and he has been dominant. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over five innings. I expect him to keep that momentum going against a below-average Red Sox offense, especially in the first inning.

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Marlins vs. Giants - Sandy Alcantara vs. Adrian Houser (10:15 PM EST)

The San Francisco Giants have momentum after taking a series from the Dodgers. They won with strong pitching, which gives me confidence that Friday’s game against Miami will be low-scoring.

Under 0.5 Run (-142) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Sandy Alcantara is a perennial Cy Young candidate, and he’s off to another strong start this season. He holds a 3.06 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, but just a 2-2 record.

That .500 record is a clear sign that his offense hasn’t provided much run support. While that may frustrate Alcantara, it’s an encouraging sign for NRFI bettors.

Adrian Houser will pitch for San Francisco, and while he hasn’t been as dominant as Alcantara, Miami’s offense can be inconsistent—even with their ace on the mound.

Houser should feel comfortable at home and do his job in the first inning.

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Mariners vs. Cardinals - George Kirby vs. Andre Pallante (8:15 PM EST)

The Seattle Mariners are just 11-15 on the season and 1-8 on the road. Their offense has been nonexistent away from Seattle, and they’ll face a solid challenge against St. Louis’ pitching staff.

The Cardinals are off to a strong 14-10 start, even without elite talent across the roster.

Under 0.5 Run (-132) at FanDuel Sportsbook

George Kirby will take the mound for the Mariners and has been one of the team’s bright spots in April. He is 3-2 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP.

He has thrown 33.1 innings this season and allowed just 27 hits. His command of the strike zone is excellent, which is crucial for NRFI success.

Andre Pallante will pitch for the Cardinals. He owns a 4.05 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP, which is somewhat concerning, but Seattle’s offense has struggled to find any rhythm.

That makes the NRFI a strong betting option for Friday night.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Cubs vs. Dodgers - Jameson Taillon vs. Emmet Sheehan: Taillon has pitched in plenty of big games and has solid numbers, but the Dodgers are always capable of putting runs on the board. They hit well, especially at the top of the lineup, which explains their strong home record. Emmet Sheehan will start for Los Angeles and owns a 5.85 ERA, so the Cubs could also strike early in the first inning.

• Yankees vs. Astros - Will Warren vs. Lance McCullers Jr.: Aaron Judge and Yordan Alvarez are both likely to bat in the first inning, and they are known NRFI killers. The total is set at 9 for this matchup, signaling that oddsmakers expect plenty of runs and I agree.

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