Best NRFI Bets Today: Ranger Suarez Faces his Old Team

Ranger Suarez will take the mound for the Boston Red Sox against his former team, the Philadelphia Phillies. Suarez has been tremendous this season, and this matchup sets up well for a NRFI bet.

There are also two other games on Thursday’s slate that offer strong NRFI value.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Thursday, May 14

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Phillies vs. Red Sox - Jesus Luzardo vs. Ranger Suarez (6:45 PM EST)

The Boston Red Sox are slipping into the danger zone. Their offense has been so poor that the team could begin punting on the season sooner rather than later. While that hurts their long-term outlook, it still creates betting value on a game-to-game basis.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook

Jesus Luzardo is the wild card in Thursday’s NRFI matchup between the Phillies and Red Sox. Luzardo is 3-3 with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.

He hasn’t been very consistent this season, allowing 49 hits in 43.2 innings. However, the Red Sox currently have one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Boston also lacks power, meaning walks are the primary way Luzardo could get into trouble on Thursday. If he locates early in counts, he should be able to work through his half of the inning cleanly.

Suarez will have to navigate around Kyle Schwarber, but I’m confident he can get the job done. The left-hander is 2-2 with a 2.77 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP.

Although he has a couple of rough outings this season, Suarez has been very consistent overall in 2026.

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Cubs vs. Braves - Ben Brown vs. Chris Sale (7:15 PM EST)

The Chicago Cubs look like a legitimate National League contender, but they still need to prove themselves against the Braves, who remain the best team in baseball. It won’t be easy against Chris Sale, though this matchup still sets up perfectly for a NRFI.

Under 0.5 Run (-145) at Caesars Sportsbook

Chris Sale has been dominant this season. He owns a 6-2 record with a 2.20 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. He has allowed just 31 hits in 49 innings while striking out 59 batters.

Sale does allow slightly more home runs than expected, but he is still one of the toughest pitchers in baseball to square up.

Ben Brown has emerged as one of the best young arms in the league, posting a 1.82 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. He has surrendered only 18 hits in 29.2 innings.

Brown will face the best offense in baseball, led by Matt Olson, who already has 14 home runs this season. Still, Brown limits hard contact well, which is why I like this matchup for a scoreless first inning.

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Padres vs. Brewers - Griffin Canning vs. Kyle Harrison (1:40 PM EST)

The San Diego Padres are battling the Los Angeles Dodgers for National League West supremacy. They’ll need to finish this series strong against Milwaukee to keep pace in the division race.

Under 0.5 Run (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook

Griffin Canning has struggled for the Padres this season, posting a 6.75 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Those numbers clearly aren’t ideal, but the Brewers don’t have many dangerous power hitters at the top of the lineup.

Milwaukee thrives on walks and small ball, and Canning has actually done a solid job limiting those areas when he’s on the mound.

Kyle Harrison will start for the Brewers, and he has been outstanding since arriving from Boston.

Harrison is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP while striking out 41 batters in 33.2 innings this season.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Cardinals vs. Athletics - Michael McGreevy has been outstanding for the Cardinals, but pitching in Sacramento is always dangerous because the ball carries extremely well. On the other side, Jacob Lopez has struggled badly for the Athletics, posting a 6.11 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP.

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