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The Cleveland Guardians will conclude their series against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday. There were 16 total runs scored in the first game of this series, but the bats slowed down immensely in the second contest. There were six total runs scored on Tuesday, and we believe the series finale will follow a similar trajectory.
The total is set at 7.5, so bookmakers expect a slow offensive day with Tanner Bibee and Sonny Gray on the hill. Bibee is 10-3 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.2 WHIP. Over 119.2 innings, he has allowed 107 hits with 117 strikeouts. He has been very consistent for Cleveland and a strong starter for NRFI bettors.
Gray has also been good, with a 7-6 record, a 3.06 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP. Over 150 innings, he has recorded 151 strikeouts. The best stat for NRFI bettors involving Gray is that he has only allowed six homers in his time on the mound.
The quickest way to destroy an NRFI bet is by a home run, and we shouldn’t have to worry about this with Gray on the hill. Neither offense has been phenomenal this season. Both teams are in the bottom half of baseball in batting average and runs scored. Cleveland ranks 26th in baseball in runs scored, so many stats point to an NRFI in this game for a very fair price of -122.
The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will conclude their seventh H2H game in the past ten days on Wednesday at Fenway Park. The runs have been coming for both sides over the past two weeks. The Tuesday night game stayed under the total, but this hasn’t been the norm.
The Astros have exceeded the total in eight of their past ten games. The Red Sox have exceeded the total in nine of their past ten games. The pitching matchup on Wednesday is one of the best we’ve seen in this series.
Framber Valdez will pitch against Kutter Crawford, and both pitchers have been sensational. Valdez is 9-9 with a 3.4 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Over 161.2 innings, he has allowed just 136 hits. He shut out the Tigers in his last start, but prior to this, he allowed 18 runs in 19.2 innings.
Crawford is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Over 101 innings, he has allowed just 85 hits and 101 strikeouts. Yet, the way Houston has been hitting, they can strike at any time. Considering how well both teams have hit the baseball, it’s hard to stay away from the YRFI in this game.
Hunter Greene and Logan Webb have caused bookmakers to list the Reds vs Giants total at 7.5 runs. This total is low, but it makes sense based on each pitcher’s capabilities on the mound. Greene hasn’t been sensational this season, with a 2-6 record, 5.06 ERA, and a 1.53 WHIP. However, there is a lot of upside with the pitcher.
He has recorded 108 strikeouts in 80 innings of work. Strikeout ability is the most valuable weapon not to give up first-inning runs because a pitcher can get out of a jam against good hitters.
Greene may allow many runs in this contest, but it won’t be in the first inning, as he should mow down the Giants if he just locates. Webb has been more reliable, but the upside isn’t as high as Greene.
Webb is 9-10 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.1 WHIP. Over 174.1 innings, he has allowed just 164 hits with 163 strikeouts. He got lit up by the Braves in his past two starts, but this Cincinnati team doesn’t resemble Atlanta in any way whatsoever. Play the NRFI for a very fair price of -132.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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