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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • Two power righties on the mound
  • Which bats will come alive in game two
  • X-factors to watch

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds

Blue Jays Vs Yankees 2022 05 11

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Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction and Pick

New York enters play with a ton of momentum after Aaron Judge hit a 3-run walk off home run on Tuesday with the Yankees down by two to steal one from Toronto. Jose Berrios has been sub-par for Toronto, but Taillon hasn’t done much for New York either. Because it’s plus money, we’re going to go out on a limb here.


Toronto Blue Jays Over 7.5 (+105)

Garcia’s 2021 record: (12-7)

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  • Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 Wednesday games
  • Blue Jays are 7-4 in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record
  • Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 overall
  • Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games
  • Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 5 on grass
  • Under is 19-7-1 in Blue Jays last 27 games as a road underdog
  • Under is 6-3 in the last 9 meetings
  • Blue Jays are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in New York
  • Under is 10-5 in the last 15 meetings in New York
  • Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs a right-handed starter
  • Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs American League East
  • Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 games as a favorite
  • Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 Wednesday games
  • Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 overall
  • Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 home games
  • Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs a right-handed starter
  • Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

Two Power Righties Take the Mound

Neither pitcher has had the start they’d hope to have in 2022, but both the Blue Jays and Yankees have very capable starters taking the ball on Wednesday.

The visitors are led by Jose Berrios, who once was thought to have top 10 potential as an MLB starter, but now in his seventh season still has never fully put it together. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in his starts this year, but that’s been because of run support more than anything else (Toronto has scored five or more runs in all but one of his starts).

Berrios has thrown just two quality starts this year and sits at 2-1 on the season, with a 5.34 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and just 20 strikeouts in 28.2 innings. He got rocked his last time out against Cleveland, giving up six runs in 4.2 innings on eight hits.

He gave up three earned runs in five innings in his first start against New York in a no decision.

The Yankees will counter with Jameson Taillon who’s been solid but not stellar this year. On the surface, his numbers look pretty good – 2-1 record with a 2.84 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 21 strikeouts in 25.1 innings.

The problem is, he’s only managed to go more than five innings one time all year – however it was his last outing (also against Toronto) when he gave up just one run in six innings in a win.

Yankees Hope Tuesday Is a Sign of Bats Heating Back Up

New York is 21-8 overall this season, the best record in all of baseball. That said, the Yankees offense had struggled for a few days prior to Judge flipping the script with his three-run game winning shot in the ninth. Before that, New York had been held to two runs or fewer for three consecutive games.

Still, not everybody has struggled, like Judge, for instance, who has two home runs and six RBIs in the past week.

Toronto meanwhile, has also struggled with its offense, scoring three runs or fewer in nine of its past 13 games. The Blue Jays best player has been second baseman Santiago Espinial, who’s reached base half the time (11-of-22 plate appearances) while hitting .353 with four doubles over the past week.

X-factors to Watch

For Toronto, we’re going to go away from some of the big names like Vladimir Gurerro Jr., Bo Bichette, George Springer and Teoscar Hernandez and instead look at catcher Alejandro Kirk. Kirk is 6-for-18 over the past week with one double, one home run and a .400 OBP.

For New York, we’re going to look at Anthony Rizzo who has solid lifetime numbers vs. Taillon. He may be just 4-for-14, but has two home runs, three RBIs and a 1.048 OPS.

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How to Watch Blue Jays vs Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Information
Teams Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
Time Wednesday, May 11, 12:35  p.m. EST
How to watch YES Network
Image for Tony Garcia


Tony Garcia

180 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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