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Odds Taken from FanDuel Sportsbook
New York Mets beat San Francisco Giants 5-3.
Mets cover the spread, Under 8.5 runs.
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The New York Mets will travel west to face the San Francisco Giants for the first game of a four-game series. These teams faced each other seven times last season, and the Mets won four times.
The Mets are in second place in the NL East with a 12-7 record. They have not been playing as well as their division rival Atlanta Braves, but they are winning consistently. On the other side, the Giants are struggling to start the year and in fourth place in the NL West with a 6-11 record.
The Mets lineup has not been consistent this year, but some players have been quite impactful. Those players go by the names of Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso, and Francisco Lindor. Nimmo leads the team in average (.349) and on-base percentage (.481), Lindor leads the team in RBIs (17), and Alonso leads the team in home runs (8). Alonso’s eight home runs also lead the MLB. These three players’ success has been critical to the Mets’ success this season. They will need to see more players, namely Starling Marte, Jeff McNeil, and Mark Canha, step up as the season progresses, but for now, this system is working.
Kodai Senga is taking the mound for the Mets. The Japanese pitcher is performing well in his rookie season. He comes into this game with a 2-0 record, 3.38 ERA, and 1.44 WHIP through three starts. He has a bit of a command issue and has given up ten walks, but other than that, he is performing to expectation and is a solid third pitcher in the Mets’ rotation. Senga gave up two combined earned runs in his first two starts but struggled a bit more in his third start against the Oakland Athletics. He gave up seven hits and four earned runs in 4⅔ innings. That was a poor start, but I do not expect the same thing to happen again in this game. Senga has a great pitching repertoire and will be able to use it to get himself his third win of the season.
The Giants have a decent lineup, but it is not as good as the Mets’. It will be difficult for them to make the Playoffs this year. They will have to fight with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, and San Diego Padres for a Wild Card spot and probably do not have the roster to match up with any of these teams. Their lineup has some solid hitters in Mike Yastrzemski, Thairo Estrada, J.D. Davis, David Villar, LaMonte Wade Jr., and Joc Pederson, but none of these players are dominant at the plate. Unless one or more of them exceeds expectations this season, San Francisco will sometimes struggle to score runs.
Sean Manaea will take the mound for the Giants. The Indiana native put up a good showing in 2021 but struggled through 2022. Those struggles have continued into this season. The southpaw has only pitched in 11⅓ innings in three games (two starts) and is getting pulled early into starts. I do not know if this trend will continue through the season, but Manaea may be in for a season of short starts.
The Mets are simply a better team and playing better baseball. They will win this game 5-3. Bet on New York.
The over/under for this game is placed at 8.5 runs. This bet could go either way, but I would recommend going for the under.
The Mets will score five runs in this game. Three of those runs will come off Sean Manaea. Manaea has a 4.76 ERA and is not performing well. He will probably pitch four innings this game and give up three runs along the way. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso will give him some trouble from the plate. The Mets will also score two runs against the Giants’ bullpen. The San Francisco bullpen has been horrendous this season and has a 5.29 ERA. They will struggle with the Mets’ lineup.
The Giants will score three runs this game. Two runs will come off Kodai Senga. Senga may throw into the sixth or seventh inning of this game, but will not be perfect. He is still adjusting to the Major Leagues and will make a few mistakes along the way. The Giants will also score one run off the Mets’ bullpen. The Mets’ bullpen is impressive and has a 3.53 ERA. They will throw three-four innings and give up a run.
The final score of this game will be 5-3. Bet on the under.
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
12-7 (2nd in NL East)
6-11 (4th in NL East)
Brandon Nimmo (.349)
J.D. Davis (.333)
Pete Alonso (8)
Mike Yastrzemski, Thairo Estrada (4)
Francisco Lindor (17)
J.D. Davis (13)
Brandon Nimmo (.481)
LaMonte Wade Jr. (.439)
Brandon Nimmo (22)
Thairo Estrada (21)
Tyler Megill (3)
Jakob Junis (2)
Tyler Megill (3.00)
Anthony DeSclafani (1.42)
David Peterson (22)
Logan Webb (28)
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What - New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
Where - Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
When - Thursday, April 20, 9:45 PM
How to Watch - MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet New York
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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]More info on Max Heering
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