Image for Tony Garcia Tony Garcia - October 14, 2022

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays: Under Is 6-2 in the Last 8 Head-To-Head Meetings

  • Aces face off in Game two
  • Two dominant offenses look to stay hot
  • X-factors to watch

Red Sox at Blue Jays Odds

Boston Red Sox Vs Toronto Blue Jays 2022 06 29

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  • Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
  • Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 road games
  • Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 overall
  • Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Red Sox are 1-6 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings
  • Under is 8-3-1 in Red Sox last 12 on astroturf
  • Blue Jays are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • Over is 12-2 in Blue Jays last 14 on astroturf
  • Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Over is 22-6 in Blue Jays last 28 overall
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings

Red Sox vs Toronto Prediction and Picks

Two of the best pitchers are going against two of the best offenses so something has to give in this game. In-game three of a series when the Red Sox will be desperate to scrape one out while the Blue Jays look to keep gaining ground and finish off a sweep, expect it to be low scoring. We like the under in this one.

Garcia’s 2022 record: (24-14)

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Two of Baseball’s Most Underrated Pitchers

Somehow the Blue Jays right-hander Alex Manoah is not yet a household name in the major leagues. That won’t be the case much longer.

The 24-year-old is legitimately in the Cy Young conversation as the halfway mark of the season approaches, ranking near the top of the league in many major categories. The righty is first in wins (9-2 overall), fourth in ERA (2.05) and eighth in WHIP (0.96) to go with 79 strikeouts in 87.2 innings.

Manoah has thrown a quality start in 12 of his 14 outings and has done so every single time he’s thrown at least six innings. Only once has he allowed more than three runs in a game, on June 18 in a 4-0 loss to the Yankees.

He dominated when he faced Boston back in April, throwing seven scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and one walk with seven strikeouts.

Nick Pivetta, meanwhile, has had a fantastic bounceback the past two months after struggling in April.

Pivetta was 0-4 with a 7.84 ERA in five starts, through May 1 but has been nails since. In his last 10 outings, the righty is 8-1 with a 1.74 ERA and has thrown nine quality starts during that stretch. He’s allowed one run or fewer in seven of those outings, but picked up losses in both starts against the Blue Jays in April, allowing seven runs in 8.2 combined innings.

Can Offenses Stay Hot?

Boston has been the hottest team in baseball the past 44 games, going 31-13 after a paltry 11-20 start to the season, though they have lost consecutive games after winning seven straight before this series.

However, the main reason for the turnaround? The offense has been red hot.

The Red Sox rank at or near the top of baseball in a number of offensive categories including a .261 team batting average (1st), .325 OBP (3rd), 353 runs (5th) and .417 slugging percentage (6th).The offense appeared to lead a come-from-behind win on Tuesday, behind home runs from Trevor Story and Rob Refsnyder, before the bullpen blew it in the ninth.

The Blue Jays have a similar storyline, going 25-16 in their past 41 games after a 17-16 start to the year. Their offense has gotten going of late, ranking in the top 10 in all the same categories including .433 slugging percentage (3rd), .255 batting average (4th) .323 OBP (7th) and 346 runs scored (10th).

The Blue Jays flashed their depth on Tuesday, with Alejandro Kirk leading off the ninth with a pinch-hit single, followed by a George Springer walk and consecutive singles from Bo Bichette and Vladimir Gurerro Jr. to get the walk-off win, 6-5.

X-factors to Watch

The x-factor to watch for the Blue Jays is Kirk, who’s been the best hitting catcher in baseball this season. The 23-year-old ranks eighth in baseball with a .322 batting average to go with 10 home runs, 31 RBIs and a .936 OPS, which is ninth-best in the MLB.

For Boston, we’re looking at J.D. Martinez who has crushed pitching when away from Fenway Park. The power-hitter is batting .360 on the road with a .444 OBP, five home runs 14 doubles, 17 RBIs and a team-best 1.036 OPS.

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How to Watch Red Sox at Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Information
Teams Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time Wednesday, June 29, 7:10 p.m. EST
How to watch AT&T SportsNet Southwest, SportsNet New York, TBS
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AUTHOR

Tony Garcia

188 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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