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Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Martin Truex Jr.
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Most NASCAR Cup Series drivers will tell you that starting position doesn’t have a huge impact on the outcome of a race.
That’s true at many tracks, but Texas Motor Speedway is a notable exception.
In eight of the last nine Cup races at the 1.5-mile oval, the winner has come from the top 10 on the starting grid. Five of those winners have come from the top four, two from the pole position.
So it’s probably a good idea to table your wager until after qualifying on Saturday—unless you plan to bet on Christopher Bell, that is.
Bell has won all three previous poles in the NASCAR Playoffs this year and looks to become the first driver to win four straight since Ryan Newman in late 2004.
Chances are excellent Bell will make the final round of qualifying again at Texas, so you might want to take advantage of his +1000 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as soon as possible.
Denny Hamlin is supremely confident as the NASCAR Cup Series comes to Texas Motor Speedway to start the second round of the Playoffs.
How do we know? He said so. “This is our year,” Hamlin asserted after winning the Bass Pro Shops Night Race last Saturday at Bristol.
There is ample justification for Hamlin’s bravado. His No. 11 Toyotas have been consistently fast all year, producing three victories.
Hamlin has three victories and 15 top 10s in 32 starts at Texas. His last win at the 1.5-mile track came in the spring race of 2019.
Given that Hamlin (+500) is the favorite at DraftKings, we’re going to look elsewhere (at a better price) for Sunday’s winner. However, we do think Hamlin will beat Chevy driver Kyle Larson head-to-head at -115 via DraftKings.
When the NASCAR Cup Series visits an intermediate speedway, you can expect Tyler Reddick to be in the mix for the victory.
Reddick is the defending winner of the Autotraders EchoPark Automotive 400. In the second race of the 2023 Playoffs, he beat his car owner, Denny Hamlin, in a two-lap shootout for the victory.
In last year’s race at Texas, Reddick led a race-high 70 of 334 laps and beat Joey Logano to the finish line by 1.190 seconds.
This year, we think he’ll beat his boss for the second time in the Playoffs at a tidy +700 via DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]More info on Reid Spencer
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