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Justin Allgaier looks to reclaim momentum after a tepid start to the 2024 season.
John Hunter Nemechek can win two straight races in a part-time role.
William Byron comes to play in the Xfinity sandbox as a former winner.
Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook. Click odds in the table below and claim up to $1,000 No Sweat First Bet at DraftKings.
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
William Byron | +240 BET HERE |
Chandler Smith | +550 BET HERE |
John Hunter Nemechek | +600 BET HERE |
Cole Custer | +600 BET HERE |
Justin Allgaier | +650 BET HERE |
Aric Almirola | +900 BET HERE |
Sheldon Creed | +1100 BET HERE |
Sammy Smith | +1100 BET HERE |
Riley Herbst | +1100 BET HERE |
Austin Hill | +1600 BET HERE |
Sam Mayer | +1800 BET HERE |
William Byron to win the race at +240
John Hunter Nemechek to finish in the top three at +150
Justin Allgaier is happy enough to return to Phoenix Raceway after a lackluster start in the first three NASCAR Xfinity Series races of 2024.
After an eighth-place finish in the season opener at Daytona International Speedway, Allgaier fell to 28th two laps down, at Atlanta in the second of back-to-back superspeedway races.
A 10th-place run last weekend at Las Vegas Motor Speedway left last year’s series championship runner-up eighth in the standings entering the fourth event on the schedule, at Phoenix Raceway.
If experience counts at the one-mile track in the Sonoran Desert, Allgaier has a leg up on the competition with a record 27 Xfinity starts there. His average starting position of 9.9 and average finish of 9.3 are admirable statistics.
The driver of the No. 7 JR Motorsports Chevrolet has two wins at the track, the last coming in the fall race of 2019.
While we expect Allgaier to make a top-five run on Saturday, he’s not our pick to win the race at +650 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Those odds are simply not generous enough.
Now full-time in the NASCAR Cup Series with Legacy Motor Club, John Hunter Nemechek had enough moxie to win last Saturday’s NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Las Vegas.
In the Call911.com 200 at Phoenix, Nemechek will reprise his moonlighting role in the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota.
Nemechek has never won an Xfinity Series race at Phoenix, but in seven starts there—for four different car owners—he has finished outside the top 10 only once.
There’s no doubt that Nemechek (+600 at DraftKings Sportsbook) will be driving excellent JGR equipment on Saturday. Though we don’t expect him to claim that elusive win, we do like him to finish in the top three at +150.
William Byron already has won the Daytona 500 this year, and he’s one of the favorites to claim a NASCAR Cup Series championship at the end of the season.
Byron already has a NASCAR Xfinity Series title, and on the way to that championship in 2017—his only full-time year in the series—he won at Phoenix in his second start there.
Now he returns to the track in an Xfinity car for the first time since then, and he returns as the heavy favorite to win the race.
We don’t disagree, and we note that the oddsmakers’ top choice has won every Xfinity event so far this season—Austin Hill in the first two superspeedway races and John Hunter Nemechek last week.
Accordingly, Byron is our pick for Saturday’s race, even though he’s offered at a modest +240 via DraftKings. (And by the way, Byron is also the defending winner of Sunday’s Cup race.)
Race: Call811.com 200 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location: Phoenix Raceway
Time: Saturday, March 9, 4:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: FS1
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]
More info on Reid Spencer
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