200 Predictions: Daytona 500 Winner Seeks Xfinity Triumph

Written by: Reid Spencer
Published March 8, 2024
4 min read
  • Justin Allgaier looks to reclaim momentum after a tepid start to the 2024 season.

  • John Hunter Nemechek can win two straight races in a part-time role.

  • William Byron comes to play in the Xfinity sandbox as a former winner. 200 Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook. Click odds in the table below and claim up to $1,000 No Sweat First Bet at DraftKings.

Driver Odds
William Byron +240
Chandler Smith +550
John Hunter Nemechek +600
Cole Custer +600
Justin Allgaier +650
Aric Almirola +900
Sheldon Creed +1100
Sammy Smith +1100
Riley Herbst +1100
Austin Hill +1600
Sam Mayer +1800

Our Picks for the 200

  • William Byron to win the race at +240

  • John Hunter Nemechek to finish in the top three at +150

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Call811 200 Xfinity Predictions 200 Predictions

Justin Allgaier Hopes to Find Form After Lukewarm Start to 2024

Justin Allgaier is happy enough to return to Phoenix Raceway after a lackluster start in the first three NASCAR Xfinity Series races of 2024.

After an eighth-place finish in the season opener at Daytona International Speedway, Allgaier fell to 28th two laps down, at Atlanta in the second of back-to-back superspeedway races.

A 10th-place run last weekend at Las Vegas Motor Speedway left last year’s series championship runner-up eighth in the standings entering the fourth event on the schedule, at Phoenix Raceway.

If experience counts at the one-mile track in the Sonoran Desert, Allgaier has a leg up on the competition with a record 27 Xfinity starts there. His average starting position of 9.9 and average finish of 9.3 are admirable statistics.

The driver of the No. 7 JR Motorsports Chevrolet has two wins at the track, the last coming in the fall race of 2019.

While we expect Allgaier to make a top-five run on Saturday, he’s not our pick to win the race at +650 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Those odds are simply not generous enough.

John Hunter Nemechek Can Win a Second Straight Xfinity Race

Now full-time in the NASCAR Cup Series with Legacy Motor Club, John Hunter Nemechek had enough moxie to win last Saturday’s NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Las Vegas.

In the 200 at Phoenix, Nemechek will reprise his moonlighting role in the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota.

Nemechek has never won an Xfinity Series race at Phoenix, but in seven starts there—for four different car owners—he has finished outside the top 10 only once.

There’s no doubt that Nemechek (+600 at DraftKings Sportsbook) will be driving excellent JGR equipment on Saturday. Though we don’t expect him to claim that elusive win, we do like him to finish in the top three at +150.

After Seven Years, William Byron Will Try to Win at Phoenix Again

William Byron already has won the Daytona 500 this year, and he’s one of the favorites to claim a NASCAR Cup Series championship at the end of the season.

Byron already has a NASCAR Xfinity Series title, and on the way to that championship in 2017—his only full-time year in the series—he won at Phoenix in his second start there.

Now he returns to the track in an Xfinity car for the first time since then, and he returns as the heavy favorite to win the race.

We don’t disagree, and we note that the oddsmakers’ top choice has won every Xfinity event so far this season—Austin Hill in the first two superspeedway races and John Hunter Nemechek last week.

Accordingly, Byron is our pick for Saturday’s race, even though he’s offered at a modest +240 via DraftKings. (And by the way, Byron is also the defending winner of Sunday’s Cup race.)

How to Watch the 200

  • Race: 200 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

  • Location: Phoenix Raceway

  • Time: Saturday, March 9, 4:30 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: FS1

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Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
48 years
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