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Xfinity cars draft in packs at Atlanta, but straight-line speed is decisive
Heavy favorite Austin Hill just added to his resume on superspeedways
John Hunter Nemechek goes for second straight Atlanta win on Saturday
Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook. Join DraftKings today and claim the Get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000 offer.
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
Austin Hill | +380 BET HERE |
John Hunter Nemechek | +750 BET HERE |
Justin Allgaier | +850 BET HERE |
AJ Allmendinger | +850 BET HERE |
Cole Custer | +900 BET HERE |
Sheldon Creed | +1100 BET HERE |
Riley Herbst | +1100 BET HERE |
Parker Kligerman | +1200 BET HERE |
Sam Mayer | +1400 BET HERE |
Sammy Smith | +1600 BET HERE |
Ryan Truex | +1600 BET HERE |
John Hunter Nemechek to win the race at +750.
Ryan Truex to finish in the top three at +500.
If you really want to wait for a strong clue as to the winner of Saturday’s Raptor King of Tough 250 at Atlanta Motor Speedway, hold off betting until after time trials on Friday afternoon.
After a 2021 repave of degraded asphalt on the 1.54-mile track, NASCAR instituted its superspeedway competition package at Atlanta. That means reduced horsepower and close-quarters racing in an aerodynamic draft.
But don’t be fooled. Theoretically, superspeedway racing expands the universe of possible winners. However, in all four races since the repaving and reconfiguration of the track, the winner has come from the top five in qualifying.
Waiting to bet until after qualifying will give you great insight, but the odds will also adjust accordingly. So it might be wiser to assume who might be fast in time trials. Austin Hill, John Hunter Nemechek, Justin Allgaier, and Cole Custer likely will fall into that category.
We steered you away from Austin Hill last week, not because we didn’t think he would win the season-opening NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Daytona, but because his short odds didn’t justify the risk of picking him.
Hill, however, overcame a litany of issues—a flat tire, a pit road speeding penalty and a crash—to win the opener for the third straight year.
Once again, Hill is the favorite as the Xfinity drivers take to the track at Atlanta in the second leg of a Saturday doubleheader. And once again, we can’t recommend betting on the Richard Childress Racing driver at +380 via DraftKings Sportsbook.
The odds are just too puny—and Hill can’t win two superspeedway races in a row, can he?
The way we figure it, John Hunter Nemechek has almost as good a chance of winning on Saturday as Austin Hill.
After all, Nemechek won last year’s summer race and is looking for two in a row at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
Nemechek has stepped up to full-time NASCAR Cup Series racing with Legacy Motor Club this year, but the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota he’ll drive in Saturday’s Xfinity Series race is the same equipment he took to Victory Lane last season.
Accordingly, picking between Nemechek and Hill is easy, given that Nemechek is priced at a much more favorable +750 via DraftKings.
We also like Nemechek’s Joe Gibbs Racing teammate, Ryan Truex, to finish in the top three at +500 via DraftKings. Truex has finished third in his last two Atlanta starts.
Race: Raptor King of Tough 250
Location: Atlanta Motor Speedway
Time: Saturday, February 24, 5 p.m. ET
How to Watch: FS1
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]
More info on Reid Spencer
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