The Eastern Conference Finals have reached a pivotal stage with a decisive Game 3 approaching, and I have my best player prop picks lined up for Knicks vs. Cavaliers later today.
The Knicks find themselves with a 2-0 series lead after they won Game 1 in overtime and Game 2 by a comfortable 16 points. The Cavaliers are 6-1 at home in the postseason, and they are in desperate need of a response.
Fittingly, the Cavaliers are favored for the first time in this series, with FanDuel listing them at -2.5 ahead of tip-off later tonight.
Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Knicks vs. Cavaliers Game 3 today on Saturday, May 23.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell under 27.5 points | -130 | Cleveland Cavaliers 55% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns under 17.5 points | -136 | Cleveland Cavaliers 55% |
| Josh Hart under 1.5 threes | +120 | Cleveland Cavaliers 55% |
| Evan Mobley over 8.5 rebounds | +102 | Cleveland Cavaliers 55% |
| Mikal Bridges under 2.5 assists | -108 | Cleveland Cavaliers 55% |
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Mitchell scored 29 and 26 points to begin the series and is always a threat to take a ton of shots, but if the Cavaliers are going to claw back in this series, I believe that it needs to be on the back of a team effort. That means potentially more assists for Mitchell, but not a takeover scoring game.
While Mitchell is always dangerous, he appeared to be banged up when these teams met on Friday. The Knicks would also be wise to make the other members of the Cavs beat them instead of letting Mitchell, their only consistent scorer, take over.
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Towns’ shooting volume has plummeted in the postseason, as he only took 9.8 field goals per game after he averaged 13.8 during the regular season. He’s also had nights where he hasn’t logged many minutes, on top of frequently finding himself in foul trouble.
The Big Bahamian scored 18 points in Game 2, but he only took 12 field goals, and he tied a playoff-high with three made threes. He scored just 13 points in 40 minutes in Game 1, and with the Knicks feeling comfortable with their lead and heading on the road, I’d back the under.
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Talk about an all-time overreaction, Hart — who went 5-11 from three in Game 2 — is now getting serious plus-money value for the under. That astonishes me, given that he went under in nine of 12 games in these playoffs.
The Cavaliers held their opponents to a strong 11.2 made threes per game during the playoffs on just 30.4 percent shooting from deep. Hart shot 30.4 percent from three in the postseason and, despite a great shooting night his last time on the court, has not earned the consistent trust of… well, anyone.
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Mobley is one of the players who have upside but are so inconsistent that they are frustrating to bet on. I’m putting those past experiences with him to the side for this plus-money hit after he only had six rebounds in Game 2, but also had 14 in Game 1.
Jarrett Allen doesn’t look great when battling Towns or Mitchell Robinson on the boards, but Mobley can win the proxy wars. He did not take a single shot in the second half of Game 2 after scoring 14 points in the first half, and I’m sure that the coaching staff will be in his ear telling him to play more aggressive, which hopefully has a spillover to his rebounds.
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Bridges had three dimes in Game 2 and one in Game 1. He went under in eight of 12 playoff games thus far, despite averaging 3.7 assists per game during his regular-season campaign.
While the Cavaliers have not done a good job of limiting their opponents’ assists in the playoffs, they will be at home, and they will be desperate. That should increase their defensive productivity, not to mention that players usually shoot the ball worse on the road, which could mean fewer made shots and fewer assists for Knicks players.
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