When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Hawks vs Heat Prediction: Miami Will Have Home Court Advantage When They Face the Hawks

Written by: Christian Jope
Published April 11, 2023
13 min read
  • The Atlanta Hawks closed the season on a two-game losing streak
  • The Miami Heat found a win in their last game of the regular season
  • The Miami Heat won their season series against the Atlanta Hawks 3-1

The seventh seed in the 2023 NBA Playoffs is on the line when the Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks. The Miami Heat finished seventh in the East with a 44-38 overall record and a 27-14 home record. The Atlanta Hawks finished the season eighth in the East, with a 41-41 overall record and a 17-24 road record.

The Miami Heat won their regular season series against the Atlanta Hawks, 3-1. Their most recent meeting was a 128-130 Heat victory on March 6th. Hosted at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, the Heat will have home court advantage when they face the Hawks!

Let's check out the bets!

Check out our NBA betting bonuses and promo codes here!

BetRivers

4.1/5

$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Predictions

Head-to-Head: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Atlanta Hawks
Head-to-HeadMiami Heat
Quin SnyderHead CoachErik Spoelstra
41-41 (8th in East)Standing44-38 (7th in East)
L-W-W-WFormW-L-W-W
115.5 (7th of 30)Off Rtg112.3 (25th of 30)
115.4 (22nd of 30)Def Rtg112.8 (9th of 30)
101.5 (6th of 30)Pace96.7 (29th of 30)

Leaders (Per Game)

T. Young (26.2)PPGJ. Butler (22.9)
C. Capela (11.0)RPGB. Adebayo (9.2)
T. Young (10.2)APGJ. Butler (5.3)
D. Murray (1.5)SPGJ. Butler (1.8)
O. Okongwu (1.3)BPGB. Adebayo (0.8)
C. Capela (.653)/D. Murray (8.3)FG%/FGMC. Zeller (.627)/B. Adebayo (8.0)
A. Holiday (.409)/B. Bogdanovic (2.7)3P%/3PMT. Herro (.378)/T. Herro (3.0)

Injury Report

PlayerTeamDateStatusInfo
Nikola JovicMiami Heat08 Apr 2023Out (Back)Jovic hasn't played since Dec 26, and there is no timetable for his return.

Spread: Miami Heat -5.0 (-110) @ Caesars Sportsbook

Receive up to $1250 as a welcome bonus by signing up at Caesars Sportsbook!

🔥 Claimed by 34 people this week!

Caesars

4.3/5

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

21+ | T&Cs Apply. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Atlanta Hawks ATS Record: 36-45-1

Miami Heat ATS Record: 30-49-3

The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat kick off the Eastern Conference NBA Play-In Tournament! The Miami Heat closed the season on a 6-4 run over their last ten games, earning themselves a 44-38 overall record and seventh place in the East. The Atlanta Hawks went 5-5 to close out their last ten games, fittingly earning them a 41-41 record and the eighth seed in the East.

The Hawks are one of the league's most offense-biased teams, averaging 118.4 points per game (3rd in the NBA) on 48.3% from the field (9th in the NBA) but are allowing 118.1 points (26th in the NBA) on 48.6% shooting (5th in the NBA). Atlanta must limit the Heat's offense, as they've allowed them to shoot 50.2% from the field through three games this regular season. Miami's defense is too good for the Hawks to compete in a scoring battle.

The Miami Heat are one of the NBA's premiere defensive teams, allowing just 109.8 points per game (2nd in the NBA) while forcing 15.7 turnovers (3rd in the NBA) and limiting teams to just 41.8 rebounds per game (6th in the NBA). The outlook for the Heat's offense is positive against the Hawks, as they score 4.2 more points than their regular season average when facing the Hawks while forcing 14.0 turnovers per game.

Tuesday evening's match will surely be an offense-defense affair, but we're taking the Miami Heat to overtake the Atlanta Hawks. Several All-Stars will compete on both sides, but Miami's veteran experience and defensive execution will be the difference in this matchup. Barring a revolution in Atlanta's defensive standards, Miami will have the edge.

Key Players & Stats

To check out our expert review of Caesars Sportsbook, click here!

All eyes are on Hawks guard Trae Young, averaging 26.2 points, 10.2 assists, and 3.0 rebounds on 42.9% from the field and 33.5% from the three-point range this season. However, the Heat have held Young to his second-lowest points average against any team this season, allowing him 19.8 points, 9.8 assists, and 3.3 rebounds on 35.6% from the field and 20.8% from three through four games. If Young can't find his offense, the Heat will likely stifle the Hawks.

Veteran forward Jimmy Butler hopes to lead his Miami Heat to their fourth-straight post-season after leading his team with 22.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 5.3 assists on 53.9% from the field and 35.0% from three. In three games against the Hawks, Butler posted 25.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 6.3 assists on 63.2% from the field. Atlanta's defense struggled to contain Butler, and if he maintains that production, the Heat could cruise to victory.

Total: Under 226.5 (-110) @ PointsBet

Get up to $250 in bet credits by signing up at PointsBet!

The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks compete on different ends of the scoring spectrum. Miami averaged a combined 219.3 points per game on a minus-0.3 differential. Atlanta averaged a combined 236.5 points per game on a plus-0.3 points differential.

To close out their last ten games of the season, the Heat averaged a combined 223.8 points per game on a plus-3.8 points differential. In Atlanta's previous ten matches, they averaged a combined 247.4 points per game on a plus-2.0 point differential.

We don't see the Hawks maintaining their incredible offensive form against Miami's stout perimeter defense. Through four games, the Heat and Hawks have combined to average 230.5 points per game, clearing 226.5 points in two of their four meetings. At full health, the Heat's two-way ability should limit the Hawks while producing an efficient offense.

How to Watch Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

  • Where: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • When: 7:30 PM EST, Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • How to Watch: TNT
  • Streaming: AT&T TV Now, FuboTV, Hulu + Live TV, Sling TV, YoutTube TV
21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500
Claim Now
Image for Christian Jope

AUTHOR

Christian Jope

1438 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

More info on Christian Jope
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.