When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >
The Denver Nuggets are one win away from their first championship in franchise history and have a chance to close the deal at home Monday when they take on the Miami Heat in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
Caesars sportsbook is offering a promo code to all first-time bettors worth up to $1,250 in first-bet bonuses depending on the outcome of that first bet. Any losers will be compensated with 100% refunds equal to their stake up to the $1,250 maximum.
All refunds come in the form of bet credits, which are tokens that can be used to win cash prizes like any other bet but cannot be withdrawn for cash. These credits may be used in any Caesars sportsbook market.
Full terms and conditions apply and can be found on Caesars.
If you're interested in other sportsbooks - check out our best NBA betting sites and get the best betting experience!
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook
The Heat came out with an aggressive defensive strategy in Game 4. They doubled Nikola Jokic in the post on the first two possessions and also regularly blitzed Jamal Murray whenever he was in the pick-and-roll to force the ball out of his hand. Jimmy Butler also took charge of Miami’s offense and regularly hunted a switch onto Murray, who he then took into the post and used his size and strength advantages to rise over the top.
The success of that aggression was only short-lived, however, as the Heat won the first quarter by a point but went into halftime down four. Aaron Gordon was particularly impressive and exploited mismatches throughout the second quarter en route to his best game of the Finals. The third quarter was where Denver really opened the game up with its free-flowing offense and kept Miami on its heels, and ultimately secured a 13-point lead.
Miami managed to get Nikola Jokic to draw his fifth foul with 9:23 in the fourth quarter, which sent him straight to the bench. They soon closed the lead to five, only for Murray to hit a momentous three, and for Jokic to check back in a couple of minutes later. The Nuggets then executed down the stretch as they had nearly every game before and walked away with a comfortable win.
Gordon was the Nuggets’ leading scorer and the most influential player with 27 points, seven rebounds, six assists, and a game-high +29. Jokic and Murray combined to shoot just 13-36 from the field but had high marks of 23 points (Jokic) and 12 assists with no turnovers (Murray). Bruce Brown also provided a huge spark off the bench with 21 points, including 11 in the fourth quarter.
For Miami, Butler had a solid 25 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists, but did not make the impact plays when his team needed them to go on a run or to curtail one of Denver’s. Bam Adebayo had a decent 20 points and 11 rebounds but had seven turnovers to boot. The Heat shot just 32% from three and only made eight triples.
One of the biggest talking points from Game 4 was Denver’s defensive activity. They won the turnover battle 14-6 largely because of their active hands and ability to force tons of strips, tips, deflections, and kick balls, which prevented Miami from gathering any sort of momentum playing downhill.
The Heat are running out of buttons to push. They switched from starting Caleb Martin back to Kevin Love and have tried every defensive approach they can think of for Murray and Jokic, whether that be zone, man, blitzing the pick and roll, doubling the post, switching, or hard hedging, and none of it has limited their influence on the series.
While Miami did win the last time the teams faced off in Denver, they just dropped both games on their home court. The Nuggets also went 34-7 at home during the regular season and have only lost one time at mile-high in the postseason, the aforementioned Game 2.
The opening theme of the series was that the Nuggets had more talent, and Miami needed to outwork them and play smarter basketball than them to win the series. They have not consistently held up their end of the bargain and are staring down the barrel of a gentleman's sweep and their second Finals loss in the last four years.
The Nuggets will win with more of the same. They have gotten the job done with their stars and their role players, with offense and defense, and at home and on the road. There are no real adjustments they have to make, they just have to execute for 48 minutes of play to become champions for the first time.
The Heat’s best path to victory will be from taking and making more three-pointers—that’s easier said than done, however, because Denver has done a great job crowding the three-point line without compromising their presence on the defensive glass. A signature Jimmy Butler game would also be a huge help to a team that is severely behind in the “star-for-star” matchup.
The best bet for Game 5 is the Nuggets at -9, and a great game prop is over the fourth-quarter points total of 50.5. We expect Denver to be up by somewhere around eight points coming into the finish line, at which time the Heat will start fouling and sending them to the free-throw line. Denver will also ease up on defense to avoid committing dumb fouls, which will lead to an increase in points.
Free play options
Special contests for newbies
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets
21+ | Terms and conditions apply
Wide range of betting options
Top notch customer service
Promo Code 'SPORTS'
$500 Free Bet
21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500
Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.
In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.More info on Grant Mitchell
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.