Army vs. Navy Game 2023: Best Army vs. Navy Predictions, Odds & Picks

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published December 9, 2023
5 min read

The first Army vs. Navy game was played in 1890—123 meetings later and the rivalry is still going strong, and the two are scheduled to play in the all-famous Army-Navy game this Saturday.

This year’s game will be played in Gillette Stadium, home of the New England Patriots, starting a four-year rotation of venues before the game returns to Lincoln Financial Field in 2027. Both teams are 5-6 and will not play again this season, meaning that for both teams, this is their bowl game.

Here, we’ll break down another installment of the Army-Navy rivalry and share our favorite betting picks for the matchup.

Army vs. Navy Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylinePoints Total
Army-3 (-105)-142Over 27.5 (-110)
Navy+3 (-15)+120Under 27.5 (-110)

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Army vs Navy Game 2023 Predictions

Army vs. Navy Betting Preview

Army heads into the matchup with three straight wins under its belt, including a 23-3 win against then-No. 25 Air Force. 

As per usual, the Black Knights stick to their run-first approach. They’ve thrown only 150 passes this season and run 527 times, meaning they call a run nearly 78% of the time. Quarterback Bryson Daily leads all rushers with 817 yards and seven touchdowns while running back Kanye Udoh is second with 436 yards and one score.

Daily completed 50% of his passes for 859 yards (78.1 per game), six touchdowns, and six interceptions.

Army’s offensive style has allowed it to climb to 17th in average time of possession. The trade-off is that they’re only 108th in average scoring (20.8 points per game) and 115th in total offense (315.5 yards per game) of 130 teams.

The Knights played three games against Power Five opponents, losing all of them. Their best win was the 23-3 result against Air Force, during which they forced six turnovers. 

Army’s last game, a 28-21 win against Coastal Carolina, saw them run for 365 yards on 62 carries (5.9 yards per carry) while throwing two passes for zero yards and one interception.

Army won five of their last seven meetings against Navy, a drastic turnaround from a winless run that lasted from 2002-2015. They also haven’t been in action since November 18, which means they’ll be about as rested as any team in the country when they head back onto the gridiron on Saturday.

Navy did not win or lose more than two games consecutively this season and heads into the weekend on the back of a 59-14 loss to SMU. They beat UAB and East Carolina by a combined score of 41-6 just before that.

The Midshipmen have also stuck to their ethos of pounding the rock, registering 170 passing attempts to 513 carries (75.1% runs). Sophomore Alex Tecza kept the fullback position alive and ran for 724 yards and five touchdowns on 6.2 yards per carry. Fellow fullback Daba Fofana was second in rushing with 279 yards and three touchdowns.

Senior Xavier Arline is expected to make his fifth straight start. He’s posted 23-42 for 320 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception, to go with 251 rushing yards and two TDs thus far.

Navy ranked 119th in scoring offense (18.3 points per game) and 124th in total offense (299.5 yards per game). Although this paled in comparison to the rest of the college football landscape (and was even behind Army), the Navy defense ranked 25 spots higher in yards per play allowed. The teams also gave up 22 and 22.9 points per game, setting them at just about even in that department.

Like Army, Navy did not beat a P5 team. They also played Air Force and fell 17-6.

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Army vs. Navy Picks & Predictions

Army ML (-142) at DraftKings

Neither team is going to wow you with their archaic offense—that’s why the total is only 27.5 points. Army has been a better team running the ball and heads into the game on a winning streak and with an extra week of rest, which is enough reason to trust them to win. However, we aren’t willing to go to three points, an important number in football betting, because of how low we expect the score to be.

Under 27.5 (-110) at DraftKings

If Iowa and Nebraska can cash under 24.5, these teams can hit the under here. Neither team wants to light up the scoreboard, nor will they have the ability to since they practically refuse to throw the ball. The defenses are solid enough, and the kickers only made a combined 66.7% of their field goals this season.

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How to Watch Army vs. Navy

  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 9, 3:00 p.m. ET

  • TV: CBS

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Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
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