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If you like offense, you’ll want to strap in for this Oregon and Washington Pac-12 title game. The total in this game is far closer to 70 points than 60 points, and the last time these two teams met, it ended 36-33, with Washington coming out on top.
Heading into their Friday night affair, we have the three best prop bets for this game.
The line for the largest lead in the game is at 19.5, and that’s simply too much, given these offenses.
Sure, the Huskies haven’t played nearly as well down the stretch against their opponents as Oregon, with the Ducks winning all games by double digits. Still, we can’t discard the last game between these two.
In that game, the largest lead difference was when Washington was up 29-18 in the third quarter after a 17-yard Rome Odunze touchdown.
The total here is 99, and Oregon is favored by 9.5 points, which is still quite a number of points considering what both offenses are capable of.
Washington is still a team that averages 38 points per game to Oregon’s 42.
Look for these teams to play it closely and for Washington to cover the spread.
Regarding passing deep, 21.3% of Penix Jr.’s attempts are passes 20+ yards downfield. He’s thrown for 1,348 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions on those throws. His average depth of target is 29.9 yards, so that’s nearly 10 yards beyond the starting point of this statistic at 20 yards.
His No. 1 wide receiver, Rome Odunze, has an average yards per catch at over 18 yards.
In their last game, Penix Jr. hit Odunze for two touchdowns. One was for 17 yards and the other for 18.
The longest touchdown in that game was a 30-yard strike from Bo Nix to Troy Franklin, but if you look at the other touchdowns from Washington, they included a 17, 18, 26, and 26-yard pass from Penix Jr. to Odunze (twice), Ja’Lynn Polk, and Giles Jackson.
Jackson is out of the season, but Penix Jr. still has Odunze and Polk.
Penix Jr. will fire downfield. He may have more deep touchdowns than Nix, so for this prop, at +115, we’ll roll with Washington based on the number of shots we should see.
In a game with a total of 66 points, we’re easily taking the over on Nix’s touchdowns at 2.5.
Remember, this is also a Heisman-winning game for Nix. If he performs well and the Ducks win, he’s almost a shoo-in for the award.
This season, Nix completes 78.4% of his passes for 3,852 yards and 37 touchdowns. He’s had three touchdowns or more in all but four games.
Against Washington, he had just two, but this offense has continued to be more centered around Nix in his pursuit of the Heisman. Expect a big-time duel between Nix and Penix Jr., with Nix getting at least three passing scores.
Using promo code WSN1000 at Caesars Sportsbook you’ll receive up to $1,000 back as a bonus bet if your first wager loses.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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