Best Baker Mayfield Prop Bets: Will Tampa Bay Keep NFC South Lead?

• The Buccaneers are 7-6 in sole possession of first place in the NFC South

• The Chargers are coming off a loss to the Chiefs

• Baker Mayfield has the fourth most passing yards in 2024

Baker Mayfield has posted an impressive season in 2024 despite losing weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Tampa Bay has won three straight games, giving them a one-game lead in the division and heightened NFC Championship odds. 

With four games to go, the Falcons will struggle to catch Tampa Bay, especially with how well Mayfield is playing. The Buccaneers are currently -230 to win the NFC South on FanDuel Sportsbook. 

Los Angeles has a decent pass defense, but they have a tough matchup against Mayfield in Week 15. We are targeting Mayfield props for this week’s matchup on FanDuel Sportsbook. 

FanDuel Sportsbook is one of the best NFL sportsbooks in the legal market, and the site has excellent lines for our three props. FanDuel gives new customers $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager wins on the platform.

Baker Mayfield Over 254.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel 

Mayfield is averaging 256 yards per game in 2024, and he is playing outstanding football. He is coming off a 295-yard performance one week ago against the Raiders in a game the Buccaneers controlled. 

Mayfield has surpassed 300 yards four times this season, and we see a similar performance in Week 15. Los Angeles is eighth in opponent passing yards per game, allowing 206.1. 

As good as the Chargers have been on defense, they allow opponents to throw the ball 33.7 times per game, which is 22nd in the NFL. Mayfield is averaging 247.5 yards per game when he gets 30 or more attempts. 

This game is likely to be close, and Mayfield will need to make a few big plays down the field. We expect the Buccaneers to utilize Mayfield in Week 15 and get him to 30 or more attempts to cash this prop.

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Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+105) at FanDuel

Mayfield is third in the NFL in passing touchdowns, and a big part of this is due to his weapons on the offensive side of the ball. 

The combination of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin was the best receiving duo in the league. Unfortunately for Tampa Bay, Godwin has been on the injury reserved list with an injury. 

Evans also missed time in 2024, but he is back and reminding everyone why he is one of the best receivers in football. In ten games, Evans has 43 receptions for 590 yards and seven touchdowns. 

Having Evans is a dream for any NFL quarterback, and Mayfield has been getting him the ball a lot over the past couple of years. 

Mayfield has cleared this number eight times in 2024. Tampa Bay loves throwing the ball in the red zone, and we expect him to throw at least two touchdowns against the Chargers this week. 

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Baker Mayfield Anytime Touchdown (+550) at FanDuel 

What separates Mayfield from other quarterbacks in the NFL is his ability to make big plays with his feet to convert for his team. Mayfield is fearless in scrambling out of the pocket and picking up yards with his legs, so we like him to find the end zone. 

Mayfield has 45 carries for 241 yards and three touchdowns this season. He must scramble out of the pocket against a tough Chargers defense. 

Mayfield likes to use his feet on third down and in the red zone, and we expect him to capitalize. If the Chargers can find a pass rush, Mayfield has a good shot of scoring. 

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Baker Mayfield 2024 Stats

• Completion Percentage: 70.2%

• Passing Yards: 3,329

• Touchdowns: 28

• Interceptions: 13