NFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: New Look Falcons Poised to Dominate

• The Atlanta Falcons are the betting favorite to win the NFC South in 2024-2025

• The Falcons offense will be captained by their new quarterback Kirk Cousins

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the division last year and are second on the oddsboard

The Atlanta Falcons pushed all their chips to the middle of the table this offseason and made a splash in free agency by signing former Minnesota Viking quarterback Kirk Cousins. Quarterback was one of the few positions the Falcons drastically underwhelmed in last season, now being labeled as the favorite to win the NFC South as well as a potential contender to make a run at the Super Bowl. 

The Buccaneers are the current reigning NFC South champs, and have brought back their quarterback Baker Mayfield to make another run. While that brings stability at the most important position, the Bucs severely lack production needed elsewhere to be considered a well rounded contender. As for the Saints and Panthers, it may be a long season ahead for both units as they have holes all over their rosters and are coming off a severely underwhelming offseason.

NFC South Odds

Odds courtesy of the BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to BetMGM To place your bets: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!.
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NFC South Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Barring a catastrophe, the Atlanta Falcons may already have the division title locked up as the rest of the competition is severely underwhelming on paper.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+330) at Caesars

After winning the NFC South in 2023, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have their work cut out for them heading into 2024. They made a step in the right direction by resigning Baker Mayfield as their options at quarterback were thin. Along with Mayfield, the Bucs also finalized a pair of extensions with star wideout Mike Evans and running back Chase Edmunds to help keep their offense intact.

The issue for Tampa Bay is thatoutside of drafting Graham Barton with their first round pick, the Bucs passed on adding more production to their starting offensive line throughout the offseason. That may spell disaster should they struggle in pass protection as Mayfield struggled against the blitz last season and may find himself under pressure at a consistent rate. Factor in a weak secondary that finished well below average in Def Pass DVOA and Success Rate, and the Bucs have too many glaring holes at key spots to wager on.

Bet on Buccaneers at Caesars 

New Orleans Saints (+425) at Caesars

While bringing back a bulk of production from the previous season can be an indicator of improvement, it’s tough to picture the Saints taking a step forward as they neglected to improve on their weak offense throughout the offseason. The Saints signed Cedrick Wilson Jr as a depth piece at receiver and will be relying on their first round pick Taliese Fuaga to be an instant productive starter at left tackle.

With their offense posing as a far more pressing issue, it was odd to see the Saints be far more active in their efforts to plug their gaps on defense. Stud defensive end Chase Young was a nice addition in free agency to help boost their 31st ranked Adjusted Sack Rate while Willie Gay helps fill the void at linebacker. The Saints also used their second round pick on Kool-Aid McKinstry, giving them depth at corner. Defense alone isn't enough to win the division title, making the Saints a pass in the futures market.

Bet on New Orleans Saints at Caesars 

Carolina Panthers (+1200) at FanDuel

After a year that resulted in Carolina finishing 31st in Off DVOA, the Panthers pushed all their chips in the middle and decided to improve on their offense. They were active in free agency, signing a pair of guards in Robert Hunt and Damien Lewis who will both instantly start heading into 2024. The Panthers also signed wide receiver Diontae Johnson, giving Young another productive wideout on the outside.

After a brilliant start to free agency, the Panthers decision making became head scratching to say the least. Keeping the theme on offense, the Panthers traded back into the first round and reached for wide receiver Xavier Legette. They then drafted running back Jonathon Brooks in the second round who is coming off of a torn ACL and projected to miss the start of the season. While poised to improve, the Panthers are still far behind the rest of the division in terms of being considered an actual contender.

Bet on Carolina Panthers at FanDuel 

Who Will Win the NFC South - My Pick 

Atlanta Falcons (-120) at FanDuel

After a year of horrendous quarterback play, the Falcons knew they needed to make a splash at the most pivotal position in order to swiftly become a divisional contender. They did just that by signing former Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins, giving them a consistent source of production under center with his elite passing ability and a major boost over Desmond Ridder who finished near dead last in EPA and Efficiency.

After finishing 26th in Adjusted Sack Rate, the Falcons failed to add any more meaningful production to their defensive line in the offseason outside of second round pick defensive tackle Ruke Orhorhoro. That makes drafting quarterback Michael Penix in the first round all more confusing, passing on a starting worthy defensive lineman to help give them a productive pass rush. Still, the Falcons are head and shoulders above the rest of the division and are worth a wager to win the NFC South.

Bet on Atlanta Falcons at FanDuel 

Who Won the NFC South in 2023/2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South in 2023-2024. 

NFC South History

When one team stands above the rest, they normally have a hold on the division for a few years. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have now won the NFC South three years in a row while the New Orleans Saints held the title for four years in a row before them. The Carolina Panthers also had a turn at the top of the NFC South, dominating the division from 2013-2015. With the Falcons projected as the favorite to win it this year, they are potentially next in line to start a divisional dynasty. Especially with the rest of the division regressing on paper. The Falcons have not won the division title since 2016 and are last in the division for most NFC South titles. The Saints lead the NFC South with seven division titles.

Past NFC South Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFC South

Having access to multiple sportsbooks allows you to line shop as odds can drastically vary between each sports book. The Falcons odds to win the NFC South for example, can be found as low as -120 at BetMGM and as high as -135 at Caesars. That is a difference of $15 in a tied up wager over the full course of the season for a $100 bettor while returning the same amount of profit.

Another reason to grab as many sportsbooks as you can get is because each book also has their own unique signup bonus to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NFL season. FanDuel sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

How to Read NFC South Winner Odds

Before making any type of wager, it’s critical to know how the listed odds work. When making a wager on the Falcons to win the NFC South at -120, that means you would need to wager $120 to profit $100. If you like one of the longer shots like the New Orleans Saints at +425, then a $100 wager could profit you $425 should they win the division.

More NFL Division Betting Guides

• NFC East

• NFC North

• NFC West

• AFC East

• AFC North

• AFC South

• AFC West