NFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: New Look Falcons Poised to Dominate

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Updated May 30, 2024
8 min read
  • The Atlanta Falcons are the universal favorite to win the NFC South in 2024-2025

  • The Falcons offense will be captained by their new quarterback Kirk Cousins

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the division last year and are second on the oddsboard

The NFC South may be one of the worst divisions in the NFL, but they have found themselves at the forefront of offseason headlines. The Atlanta Falcons played a major role in that by pushing all their chips to the middle of the table and made a splash by signing former Minnesota Viking quarterback Kirk Cousins. Quarterback was one of the few positions the Falcons drastically underwhelmed in last season, now being labeled as the favorite to win the NFC South as well as a potential contender to make a run at the Super Bowl. The Buccaneers are the current reigning NFC South champs and have brought back their quarterback Baker Mayfield to make another run. As for the Saints and Panthers, it may be a long season for both units who have holes all over their rosters.

NFC South Odds

Odds courtesy of the FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel To place your bets: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

TeamOdds
Atlanta Falcons-115
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers+290
BET HERE 
New Orleans Saints+350
BET HERE 
Carolina Panthers+1100
BET HERE 
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Nfc South Division Winner

NFC South Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Barring a catastrophe, the Atlanta Falcons may already have the division title locked up as the rest of the competition is severely underwhelming on paper.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+290) at FanDuel

After winning the NFC South in 2023, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have their work cut out for them heading into 2024. They made a step in the right direction by resigning Baker Mayfield as their options at quarterback were thin. Mayfield provides them their highest ceiling, yet that still may not be enough to thwart the Atlanta Falcons. Especially since their interior offensive line may struggle early on in the year with two young unproven prospects starting. Mayfield struggled against the blitz and may find himself under pressure at a consistent rate. Factor in a weak secondary that finished well below average in Def Pass DVOA and Success Rate, and the Bucs have too many glaring holes at key spots to wager on.

Bet on Buccaneers at FanDuel 

New Orleans Saints (+350) at FanDuel

While bringing back a bulk of production from the previous season can be an indicator of improvement, it’s tough to picture the Saints taking a step forward with their underwhelming cast on both sides of the ball. They did manage to add depth at receiver, yet Derek Carr has shown an inability to play at a consistent high level. Their defensive line also graded out well below league average in Rush Def DVOA, Adjusted Line Yards, and Sack Rate and made minimal improvements in that front. To make matters worse, they were forced to use their first round pick to shore up their glaring hole at tackle instead of their defense. With an aging roster in a top heavy division, the Saints are a clear pass in the division futures market.

Bet on New Orleans Saints at FanDuel 

Carolina Panthers (+1100) at FanDuel

It was about as bad as it could get for the Carolina Panthers and first overall pick Bryce Young as they finished dead last in Overall DVOA and 31st in Off DVOA. Young was constantly running for his life and throwing to an underwhelming cast of receivers, normally resulting in a three and out or a turnover. Their offensive outlook looks bleak once again as the Panthers made minimal improvements on that side of the field this offseason. They questionably traded away more assets to select Xavier Legette in the first round and an injured Jonathon Brooks with their second. Their defense may slightly improve under the tutelage of one of the best defensive coordinators in the league but it’s hardly enough. Avoid this team at all costs.

Bet on Carolina Panthers at FanDuel 

Who Will Win the NFC South - My Pick 

Atlanta Falcons (-115) at FanDuel

Even after wasting their first pick on a backup quarterback, the Falcons are still the clear cut favorite to win the division due to their high level production everywhere else. Kirk Cousins was playing as a top-5 quarterback in terms of EPA per Play before his injury and is a massive upgrade over Desmond Ridder. Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London will make his transition easy as an exciting young productive trio. The Falcons are hardly in the clear as Cousins does pose an injury risk and their defensive line still underwhelms on paper. The Falcons pass rush ranked near dead last in the league last season and could bring in a high amount of variance should they struggle to slow down opposing offenses.

Bet on Atlanta Falcons at FanDuel 

Who Won the NFC South in 2023/2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South in 2023-2024. 

NFC South History

When one team stands above the rest, they normally have a hold on the division for a few years. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have now won the NFC South three years in a row while the New Orleans Saints held the title for four years in a row before them. The Carolina Panthers also had a turn at the top of the NFC South, dominating the division from 2013-2015. With the Falcons projected as the favorite to win it this year, they are potentially next in line to start a division dynasty. The Falcons have not won the division title since 2016 and are last in the division for most NFC South titles. The Saints lead the NFC South with seven division titles.

Past NFC South Winners

YearTeam
2023Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2022Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2021Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2020New Orleans Saints
2019New Orleans Saints

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFC South

It’s vital to have as many online sportsbooks as you can get your hands on for a multitude of reasons. For starters, having access to multiple sportsbooks allows you to lineshop as odds can drastically vary between each book. The Atlanta Falcons' odds to win the NFC South for example can be found as low as -105 and as high as -135. That is a difference of $30 in a tied up wager over the full course of the season for a $100 bettor while returning the same amount of profit.

The other reason to grab as many sportsbooks as you can get is because each book has their own unique signup bonus to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NFL season.

BetMGMCaesarsFanDuel
Atlanta Falcons NFC South Winner Odds-120-135-115
Welcome BonusGet Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!*$1,000 First Bet on CaesarsBet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets 
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How to Read NFC South Winner Odds

Before making any type of wager, it’s critical to know how the listed odds work. When making a wager on the Falcons to win the NFC South at -115, that means you would need to wager $115 to profit $100 should they win the division. If you like one of the longer shots like the New Orleans Saints at +350, then a $100 wager could profit you $350 should they win the division.

More NFL Division Betting Guides

NFC South FAQ

Who is favored to win the NFC South?

Who Won the NFC South Last Season?

Who Has the Most NFC South Division Titles?

Can You Wager on the NFC South Winner During the Season?

Who Was the Last NFC South Team to Win the Super Bowl?

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Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NHL
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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