Monday Night Football is here to close out Week 6, and we have a battle between two teams that look to live up to their preseason hype but so far, haven’t done so—the Los Angeles Chargers vs. the Denver Broncos.
Instead of looking at the moneyline, spread, and total, here, we’ll look at the best player props to wager on.
With fellow wide receiver Keenan Allen out of the lineup, Williams has been quarterback Justin Herbert’s go-to target early and often.
In five games this season, Williams has posted some odd stat lines. In Weeks 2, 4, and 5, he’s had fewer than 113 receiving yards, but in Weeks 1 and 3, he combined for just 25 yards.
Against the Broncos, Williams does face a more difficult matchup against cornerback Patrick Surtain. Still, the volume of targets will be there for Williams as Herbert will look to him to help move the ball.
The Chargers defense cannot stop opposing offenses lately. Herbert may need to keep throwing, and those will go to Williams. He may not clear 100 in this more challenging matchup, but north of 70 seems more likely.
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After starting the season with back-to-back three touchdown games, Herbert hasn’t surpassed two since.
Herbert has managed just one touchdown pass in two of his three games after the first two weeks of the season.
Against the Broncos, Herbert faces a tougher defense with Surtain and safeties Kareem Jackson and Justin Simmons on the back end.
With Allen out, Herbert still has dependable options, but it’s easier for a defense to know who he’s going for.
The Broncos allow under 180 passing yards per game. While quarterbacks like Herbert can still rack up the touchdown passes without the yards, they may need running back Austin Ekeler to run a bit more here as that is where the Broncos’ defense can be beaten—they allow over 112 yards per game.
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With Javonte Williams out for the season, the Broncos will now turn to a committee of sorts in the backfield, including Melvin Gordon, Mike Boone, and newcomer Latavius Murray.
While Gordon certainly has the better pedigree among these guys, he’s not exactly someone you want to rely on for 20+ touches per game.
Gordon has surpassed 13.5 rush attempts this season once, which was in Week 5 against the Indianapolis Colts, and Murray was inactive.
This week, against the Chargers, Gordon may still lead all running backs in carries, but they’ll look to get Murray up to speed as he’ll be a valuable asset running the ball for them.
Gordon will not have that bell-cow workload in this one—not that 13.5 carries indicate that, but he may flirt with 10 or so.
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