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Week 7 of the NFL season closes out with the New England Patriots hosting the Chicago Bears. The Patriots are eight-point home favorites, and the total is at just 40 points.
With that, you should expect the offense to happen sporadically.
Nonetheless, we can still find some prop bets to make.
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Getting a plus price here, this is, without a doubt, the best single-player prop bet on Monday Night Football.
First, let’s look at the Bears’ receivers:
There’s some talent there, but compared to this Patriots coverage unit led by one of the top cornerbacks in the league right now, Jack Jones, the Bears’ only hope for a passing touchdown will be to Mooney out of the slot.
If they can’t accomplish that, the Patriots have a fairly solid pass rush against a below-average offensive line. The Bears’ only hope in this game will be to run the ball.
Some might argue that the Bears will need to throw to stay competitive, but that only looks to end in disaster if they decide to go that route.
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When browsing potential prop bets and coming across this one, it was, at first, quite shocking and felt like a slam dunk.
However, there are some ways in which we see a completion go over this. Remember, this isn’t an air yards bet—this could be a dump-off that gets taken to the house.
The Patriots have five players that have allowed completions of 33 yards or more, including cornerbacks Jalen Mills and Marcus Jones.
Mills is one of the starting outside cornerbacks. He’ll match up primarily against Pettis, who has an average target depth of 16.5 yards. He has just 11 targets, but his role has been to get one or two passes downfield to see what will happen.
So, this may happen, but the game environment, such as the lack of rushing success and a decent Patriots pass rush, may smother this offense altogether.
Fields is a good player, but the team around him isn’t equipped to assist him.
Scoring a touchdown in an NFL game is already hard enough, so when we recommend betting on someone to score two, you know that the confidence is at an all-time high.
The Bears allow 163 rushing yards per game, and the Patriots are more than a touchdown favorite at home.
This game has Stevenson written all over it. Fellow running back Damien Harris looks to be in line to play, but he’s dealing with a hamstring injury, so that’s an injury that could flare up at any time.
This game has Stevenson written all over it. If you’re not so confident with the two touchdowns, lay some cash down on an Any Time Touchdown prop—he’ll score in this one.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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