Image for Richard Janvrin Richard Janvrin - October 14, 2022

Best NFL Player Prop Bets Week 3

When looking at the entire Week 3 betting slate, nine games have totals of 45 or under when you include Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football.

So, if you’re not totally inclined to bet on the moneyline, spread, or totals line, we’d understand.

However, no matter what, each week, there are always excellent player prop bets to make, and here, we have five to cover.

Let’s not waste any more time—here we go.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Travis Kelce Any Time Touchdown (-140) at DraftKings

DraftKings

9/10

Deposit Bonus Up to $1,000

21+ | T&Cs apply

With the spread now at 5.5 and the total at 50.5, the Chiefs project to score plenty of points in this game, and tight end Travis Kelce will be a massive contributor to that.

Going up against the Colts, Kelce will see plenty of linebacker Zaire Franklin, who’s given up five catches this year on seven targets. This may not seem like much, but he’s only faced tight ends like O.J. Howard of the Houston Texans and Evan Engram of the Jacksonville Jaguars so far this year.

The Colts have two cornerbacks, Stephon Gilmore and Kenny Moore II, playing on two different levels right now.

Gilmore has been targeted a team-high 15 times but has only allowed 53.3% of those to be caught for 65 yards. On the other hand, Moore has 11 targets but has allowed nine catches for 105 yards and two touchdowns.

On the outside, Gilmore should be able to handle either Chiefs receive in Marquez Valdes-Scantling or Mecole Hardman.

With so much speed on this team, the Colts will be forced to keep that in mind.

All these factors at play are setting up tight end Travis Kelce was a fantastic showing. He could even find the end zone twice.

Get a $1,000 deposit bonus when you sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook today using our exclusive link.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+106) at Caesars

Caesars

9/10

Up To $1,250 On Caesars

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Patrick Mahomes. Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns. At “+” money? Sign us up.

We just discussed the lack of coverage on Kelce and, really, for the Colts as a whole.

When looking at the total of 50.5 and the Chiefs as 5.5-point favorites, this implies they’ll score around 30 points.

The Colts have several players in the front seven that are great run defenders, including linebacker E.J. Speed. Regardless, the Chiefs are not a team that runs the ball all that much, with just 38 attempts coming from three different running backs.

So, unless you believe the Chiefs somehow get shut down in this one, Mahomes going over 2.5 passing touchdowns seems almost improbable not to happen—it’s not going to come from the running game.

Gilmore can only be one place at a time, and other than that, the Colts will struggle to contain Kelce while accounting for the speed the Chiefs possess.

Get yourself a $1,250 risk-free bet when you register for a new account at Caesars Sportsbook when using our link. 

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints

Pick: Baker Mayfield Longest Pass Completion Under 33.5 Yards (-115) at Caesars

SI Sportsbook

9/10

Bet $20 Win $200

21+ CO, VA, MI Only | Terms and conditions apply

Going up against the Browns in Week 1 and Giants in Week 2, Panthers quarterback Baker Mayfield now faces his most formidable defensive challenge of the season.

No, the Saints haven’t been their usual lights-out selves, but if there were ever a game for this to show up, it would be against Mayfield.

In this game, Mayfield must contend with two massive headaches in the Saints secondary—cornerback Marshon Lattimore and safety Tyrann Mathieu.

While Mayfield hasn’t been great this season, he’s been his best when looking downfield 20+ yards.

This season, 12.3% of Mayfield’s attempts are on passes of 20+ yards downfield. He’s been great here, completing four of seven passes for 170 yards and two scores.

So, with a line of 33.5 yards, sure, Mayfield could do it, but here, we’re putting more trust in the Saints back-end coverage unit than the Browns or Giants.

The Saints pass rush should be able to get in on Mayfield and do some damage against the Panthers offensive line, especially on the edge, going up against rookie tackle Ikem Ekwonu and Taylor Moton.

While at home, Mayfield and the Panthers could be in for a tough day.

Don’t miss out on our exclusive offer to receive a $1,250 risk-free bet at Caesars Sportsbook today when you sign up using our link. 

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Joe Flacco Under 0.5 Interceptions (+105) at DraftKings

DraftKings

9/10

Deposit Bonus Up to $1,000

21+ | T&Cs apply

One of the best surprises during this 2022 season is seeing the somewhat resurgence of long-time Baltimore Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco.

Through the first two games of the season, Flacco throws a ton, averaging over 50 attempts per game.

This season, Flacco has one interception. Still, it’s debatable whether it should “count against him,” as it came on a player over the middle of the field against the Ravens in Week 1, where his receiver fell on the route.

Nonetheless, Flacco looked incredible in Week 2, throwing for 307 yards and four touchdowns, and was clean in the interception column.

Going up against the Cincinnati Bengals this week at home, they have yet to pick a pass this season.

To some, this could be the spot for the Bengals defense to get things going against Flacco. Still, Flacco hasn’t given us any reason to think he will turn into a turnover machine this week against a lackluster coverage unit.

The guy has 103 attempts on the season and has stayed out of turnover trouble for the most part.

At “+” money, we’ll bet on Flacco continuing to stay clean here.

DraftKings Sportsbook is offering all new players who create an account using our link a $1,000 deposit bonus

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Joe Mixon Over 19.5 Carries (-115) at BetMGM

BetMGM

9/10

$1,000 First Bet Offer

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Sticking with the Jets and Bengals, a focal point of this offense should be running back Joe Mixon until quarterback Joe Burrow, and the passing game can get things going on the right track.

At 0-2 to start the year, Mixon is still getting plenty of action out of the backfield, averaging 23 carries a game—27 in Week 1 and 19 in Week 2.

The Jets don’t profile as a great defense, so the Bengals offense should be in a great spot to try to get things on the right track.

If the spread of -5 for the Bengals rings true, they should have command of the game, which puts Mixon in an even better position, game-script-wise, to clear this 19.5 rushing attempt total with ease.

Get a $1,000 risk-free bet when you sign up at BetMGM using our link today!

Image for Richard Janvrin

AUTHOR

Richard Janvrin

345 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

More info on Richard Janvrin
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-522-4700 (NV), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI).

WSN.com is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.