Browns vs Bills Week 11: An Exciting AFC Cross-Divisional Battle

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated November 16, 2022
4 min read
  • Cleveland Browns DC Joe Woods’ run defense a weakness Bills will no doubt exploit
  • Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen suffered a UCL sprain in Week 9 affecting his production
  • Watch Browns vs Bills live on Sunday, November 20, 2022, at 1:00 PM ET on CBS

Browns vs Bills Week 11 Odds

Browns vs Bills Odds

Point Spread

Points Total

Money Line

Cleveland Browns

+8.5 (-115)


O43.5 (-112)




Buffalo Bills

-8.5 (-105)


U43.5 (-109)




Browns vs Bills Week 11 Picks

Browns vs Bills Predictions

Point Spread: Cleveland Browns +8.5 (-115) at FanDuel

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Attention sports bettors - here is an exciting NFL Week 11 AFC cross-divisional battle between the spiraling 3-6 Cleveland Browns and the winged 6-3 Buffalo Bills, meaning the Brown's defense can’t seem to stop the run this season and have lost five of their last six matchups whereas Bills franchise QB Josh Allen suffered a UCL sprain in Week 9 which affected his production last week as he threw two interceptions and lost a fumble in a loss to the Vikings.

Good news for Bills fans – Buffalo has covered the spread in each of their last four games after coming off overtime, so this point spread bet might just happen even though eight-and-a-half points are a lot in the NFL, a call the bettor must make based on what version of Browns DC Joe Woods’ defense might show up, since last week’s losing model could not stop the run at all.

Watching Cleveland win against the Bengals and fight hard with the Ravens gives them an aura of the unsung hero that is ready to rise above their underdog status, so if that team shows up in Orchard Park, New York on Sunday they should be able to keep this game close and cover the spread while QB Allen continues to heal his UCL, though he still seems capable of throwing deep.

Points Total: Under 43.5 (-109) at BetRivers

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 Even though the Bills have won twice as many games as they have lost, six of Buffalo’s last seven games have gone under the total points line, a low scoring trend that seems to have overtaken the NFL this season thanks to a slow start by rusty teams just now getting loose, with Buffalo and Cleveland capable of putting points on the board if their offenses are firing on all cylinders.

Despite their weak wins-losses record, the Cleveland Browns have a top-5 offense that scores 24.1 points per game, and the Buffalo Bills have the number one offense, and that group scores an average of 27.8 points per game, that total of 51.9 well over what this bet allows but look at what the Browns and Bills defense allow per game together (43.2 points) and that is under this wager’s limit.

One serious reason this game could go under the total points allowed is if the New York November weather is an issue because Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park is an open air stadium so if it is windy or even snowy that could hamper the passing game, though both teams here have a solid rushing attack, the Browns with RB Nick Chubb and the Bills with Devin Singletary.

Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-360) at Unibet

 Here is a chance for true Cleveland Browns fans to bet the money line on their team to win outright, not an easy feat given that the Buffalo Bills have won seven of their last eight games at Highmark Stadium, that hometown advantage is always a factor especially for the Browns who are 1-3 on the road this season whereas the Bills are 3-1 at home, a critical conference win at stake here.

For those new to sports betting here is how this Week 11 money line bet would work between the Browns and Bills – a $100 bet on the Browns to win outright would pay winners $290 plus the wager if Cleveland pulls off the upset, while a $360 money line bet on Buffalo would pay winners $100 plus their investment back, a tough choice when the oddsmakers’ spread is so wide.

Be sure to check the injury report before you make your wager since it is already Week 11 and quite a few players are banged up and questionable to play, including five Cleveland Browns players with TE David Njoku (ankle) close to returning and besides QB Allen (UCL) there are a half dozen Bills’ players who are coach’s decisions including CB Tre’Davious White (knee).

How to Watch Browns vs Bills

  • What: Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills
  • Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY
  • When: Sunday, November 20, 2022, at 1:00 PM ET
  • How: CBS
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Mike Lukas

Sports Betting & Gambling Industry Analyst

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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace Casino
23 years
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